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The pound and the Australian dollar performed very well today using the Momentum strategy. I did not take any trades using Mean Reversion.
Very weak data on eurozone business sentiment put pressure on the euro. Indicators reflecting business expectations for future conditions showed a noticeable deterioration due to the war in the Middle East, signaling growing concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook. Following the release of negative statistics, investors and traders began revising their positions, shifting toward safer assets. The decline in the sentiment index, which exceeded analysts' forecasts, became a catalyst for taking profits on long euro positions opened yesterday.
In the second half of the day, financial markets will focus on the release of key macroeconomic data from the United States. Two important indicators reflecting consumer demand and activity in the housing market will be published: retail sales and pending home sales. Retail sales data is one of the most important indicators of consumer spending, which makes up a significant portion of US GDP. An increase in the indicator would signal strong consumer demand supporting economic growth and could have a positive impact on the US dollar. Conversely, a decline in sales—especially if larger than expected—may raise concerns about slowing economic activity and lead to a weaker dollar.
At the same time, the report on pending home sales will be released. This indicator reflects activity in the secondary housing market and serves as a leading indicator for the real estate sector as a whole. Both reports may trigger notable volatility in the currency market. Traders will closely analyze the released figures, comparing them with expectations.
If the data is strong, I will rely on the Momentum strategy. If there is no market reaction to the data, I will continue using the Mean Reversion strategy.
Momentum Strategy (Breakout) for the Second Half of the Day
For EUR/USD
For GBP/USD
For USD/JPY
Mean Reversion Strategy (Pullback) for the Second Half of the Day
For EUR/USD
For GBP/USD
For AUD/USD
For USD/CAD
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
