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The test of the price at 159.63 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was just starting to move downward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for selling the dollar. As a result, the pair declined to the target level of 159.29.
Yesterday, the drop in the US currency followed Donald Trump's statement that the US would end its anti-Iran campaign regardless of whether Tehran is ready to negotiate with Washington. However, given the ongoing movement of ground formations to the Middle East, such statements by the American president raise doubts.
Trump's stated goal—to calm the markets and reduce tensions—was achieved, but this effect is likely to be temporary. At any moment, traders may see signs of new escalation, which would return demand for the dollar. US military activities, including the redeployment of additional troops and the increase of naval presence in the Persian Gulf, confirm the seriousness of the American administration's intentions, rather than plans for a swift conclusion to any military operation.
Such rhetoric from the US president may be part of the pressure on Iran to secure more favorable terms in any possible negotiations. However, in conditions of heightened uncertainty, markets tend to react to signals of potential clashes, leading to an immediate decline in the value of the dollar.
Regarding the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on implementing scenarios #1 and #2.
Important: Beginner traders in the forex market need to make entry decisions very carefully. It is best to stay out of the market before the release of important fundamental reports to avoid sharp fluctuations in prices. If you choose to trade during the release of news, always set Stop Loss orders to minimize losses. Without placing Stop Loss orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for intraday traders.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
