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The EUR/USD currency pair traded lower once again on Wednesday, with several factors contributing to the decline. No interesting reports were published in the Eurozone yesterday, leading to a stagnant price in the first half of the day. During the American trading session, three reports were released, each of which supported the US dollar. Although the reports themselves did not show staggering values and were not classified as "important," there was a formal reason to react to them. The most attention-grabbing report was on US durable goods orders. Despite a 1.4% decline in this category of orders in December, the market viewed this value positively, as forecasts indicated a 2% decline. This is usually how the dollar shows growth: any report has a minimally possible forecast set for it, and then almost any actual value exceeding that forecast helps the dollar.
On the 5-minute timeframe, two trading signals were formed on Wednesday. Unfortunately, the first signal proved false, and the price failed to move up by even 15 pips. However, the second sell signal in the area of 1.1830-1.1837 allowed beginner traders to recover losses from the first trade and end up in profit. By the end of the day, the pair moved in the desired direction by 40 pips.
A downward correction remains on the hourly timeframe, which may soon transform into an upward trend. At the beginning of 2026, the long-term upward trend resumed, so we are expecting new growth for the euro. The overall fundamental background remains very challenging for the US dollar, so we fully support further movement to the north.
On Thursday, beginner traders may consider new short positions if there is a rebound from the 1.1830-1.1837 area, targeting 1.1745-1.1754. A price rebound from the area of 1.1745-1.1754 would allow for long positions with a target of 1.1830-1.1837.
On the 5-minute timeframe, the following levels should be considered: 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527-1.1531, 1.1550, 1.1584-1.1591, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1830-1.1837, 1.1899-1.1908, 1.1970-1.1988, 1.2044-1.2056, 1.2092-1.2104. Today, there are no important reports or events scheduled in the Eurozone, and in the US, only a minor report on unemployment claims will be released. Of course, a significant value with a strong deviation from the forecast could provoke a market reaction, as was the case yesterday. However, overall, this report is not considered important.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
