20.02.202609:46 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Stock market on February 20: S&P 500 and NASDAQ close lower

Stock indices finished slightly lower yesterday. The S&P 500 declined by about 0.28%, the Nasdaq 100 slipped by 0.31%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by roughly 0.54%.

Oil prices hit a six-month high, while stock indices dipped slightly due to rising tensions in Iran, which weighed on investor sentiment. Asian indices followed Wall Street's lead and fell.

A new geopolitical factor, traditionally a major influence on energy markets, has caused a sharp spike in oil prices, which in turn has impacted market sentiment. Investors, who had grown accustomed to relatively stable energy prices, are now being forced to reassess their portfolios and expectations, taking into account risks of supply disruptions and further price increases.

At the same time, stock indices showed modest declines. This trend reflects heightened concerns among investors about the unfolding situation. Any further escalation of the conflict in the region could drive oil prices even higher and exacerbate negative trends in the stock markets. However, diplomatic efforts and stabilization of the situation could lead to a price correction and a return of more positive sentiment.

Today, Brent crude has risen by 0.5% to $72 per barrel after US President Donald Trump stated yesterday that Iran has a maximum of 15 days to reach an agreement on its nuclear program, with the US focusing military forces in the Middle East. As a result, oil prices have already surged by over 6% this week.

Markets remain cautious as US actions towards Iran add a new layer of geopolitical risk, halting the cautious rebound in stocks and dampening risk appetite. Renewed tensions threaten to derail the recovery that had started to gain momentum after several weeks of volatility, driven by concerns over disruptions related to artificial intelligence across various sectors and companies.

Technically, the main task for S&P 500 buyers today will be to overcome the nearest resistance level of $6,883. Breaking above this level would signal further gains and open the path for a move toward the next level at $6,896. Another key priority for bulls will be maintaining control over $6,914, which would solidify their position. If the market moves lower amid a decline in risk appetite, buyers must step in around $6,871. A break below this level could quickly push the instrument back to $6,854, opening the door to $6,837.