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Gold (XAU/USD) has corrected to the $4,350 level, posting a 2.86% gain over the past 24 hours and extending the recovery that began last Thursday from the $4,024 level. The precious metal is trading at its highest level in a week as investors reassess the implications of the recently announced agreement between the United States and Iran.
Financial markets reacted positively to reports that Washington and Tehran had reached a preliminary agreement aimed at ending the conflict. U.S. President Donald Trump stated that the Strait of Hormuz would be reopened under the terms of the agreement. This information was also confirmed by Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister. According to various reports, the ceasefire that has been in effect since April is expected to be extended, allowing both sides to continue negotiations.
The announcement significantly improved market sentiment. U.S. stock index futures are rising by 1–2%, while oil prices have declined notably as investors anticipate a gradual normalization of global energy flows following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
At the same time, the U.S. dollar remains under pressure. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has fallen by approximately 0.3%, trading near 99.48 after opening the week with a bearish gap.
Dollar weakness is providing additional support for gold, making it more attractive to investors using other currencies.
Investors should also pay attention to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for later this week. Ahead of the event, traders should closely monitor the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and U.S. industrial production data. Any signals regarding the health of the U.S. economy or potential changes in interest rates could influence gold prices in the coming days.
Despite the improvement in the geopolitical situation, some factors continue to warrant caution. Lebanese media outlets are still reporting Israeli strikes in southern Lebanon following the announcement of the agreement, while the full text of the deal has not yet been released. This uncertainty continues to support demand for gold as a safe-haven asset among investors seeking protection from geopolitical risks.
From a technical perspective, gold is approaching the 200-day EMA, which is expected to provide the first resistance level. However, the primary resistance for buyers remains the 100-day SMA. A break above this level would improve the bullish outlook and increase the likelihood of further gains. For now, however, oscillators remain in negative territory, giving sellers the advantage. Nevertheless, gold is finding support around the $4,260 level. A break below this support could open the way for a decline toward the June low.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
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