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The test of the price at 159.43 coincided with the moment when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move up from the zero mark, confirming the correct buy entry point for the dollar. As a result, the pair rose nearly 15 pips.
Geopolitics remains the main driver of the dollar's growth and the Japanese yen's decline. The recent rise in geopolitical tension in the Middle East, exacerbated by military actions between the United States and Iran, as well as Israel's actions in Lebanon, continues to significantly affect traders' positions in the USD/JPY pair, forcing them to buy dollars and sell yen. Ongoing military conflicts and the unpredictability of developments in the Middle East create an atmosphere of uncertainty that will continue to pressure risk assets and support demand for the U.S. dollar. Traders will continue to closely monitor any news that may indicate an escalation or de-escalation of the conflict, as well as actions from central banks—especially the Bank of Japan and the U.S. Fed —which may seek to mitigate the negative consequences of such volatility. Keep in mind that if the yen approaches the level of 160, there is a high probability of intervention from the Japanese central bank.
Regarding the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2.
Novice Forex traders must be very cautious when making market entry decisions. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports are released to avoid sharp fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
Remember that successful trading requires a clear trading plan, similar to the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for intraday traders.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
