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The GBP/USD pair plummeted on Thursday. The factors causing the decline of the British pound, or rather the rise of the American currency, were the same as those for the EUR/USD pair. A new military conflict has begun between Pakistan and Afghanistan, and the negotiations regarding the nuclear deal between the US and Iran fell apart. Thus, it was quite reasonable for the market to assume that Donald Trump would soon order a large-scale strike on Tehran and other Iranian cities and facilities. The pound sterling, which had just begun to form an upward trend, sank like a stone. As we can see, the market is effectively trading only the dollar. The fate of other currencies depends on how the dollar is traded. Recently, the American currency has been clearly fortunate. Its status as a "safe haven" continues to support it, and many negative news items and reports from across the ocean have been outright ignored by traders.
On the 5-minute timeframe, several trading signals formed on Thursday that were worth attention. Unfortunately, the first trading signal in the area of 1.3529-1.3543 was not accurate enough, but short positions could still have been opened based on it. Subsequently, the area of 1.3484-1.3489 was broken through, and the area of 1.3437-1.3446 was perfectly executed. After the bounce from this area, traders could take profit on their short positions and even open long positions, which also yielded profits.
On the hourly timeframe, the GBP/USD pair broke the downward trend and immediately broke a new upward trend as well. There are no global grounds for medium-term dollar growth, so in 2026, we expect the global upward trend from 2025 to continue, which may drive the pair to at least the 1.4000 mark. In recent weeks, the situation has often not favored the British currency, and the market has frequently ignored negative news from America.
On Friday, novice traders can open new long positions if the area of 1.3484-1.3489 is surpassed, targeting 1.3529-1.3543. A price consolidation below the area of 1.3484-1.3489 will allow for opening short positions with a target of 1.3437-1.3446.
On the 5-minute timeframe, trading can currently be done at 1.3319-1.3331, 1.3365, 1.3403-1.3407, 1.3437-1.3446, 1.3484-1.3489, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3643-1.3652, 1.3695, 1.3741-1.3751, 1.3814-1.3832, 1.3891-1.3912, and 1.3975. No significant events are scheduled in the UK for Friday, and only the Producer Price Index will be released in the US, which we do not consider to be an important indicator. The market's reaction to it may only occur in the event of a significant deviation from expectations.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
