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The EUR/USD currency pair traded back and forth on Monday. Given that there were no significant events or reports throughout the day, the sharp change in market sentiment is somewhat unclear. Recall that on Saturday, Donald Trump announced new tariffs of 15% (the maximum allowed under the Trade Act), and the market had not yet fully processed the cancellation of old tariffs and the introduction of new ones at 10%. Thus, the dollar's decline at the market open was quite logical, but it then regained "all the losses accumulated through hard work." We can only note the completely unreasonable growth of the dollar. Once again. This time, it was not just the fundamental and macroeconomic background (the U.S. GDP report on Friday) that went against the American currency, but also the technical picture. Yesterday, the upper boundary of the descending channel was broken, signifying the end of the downward trend. However, as we can see, the market is currently unresponsive to anything and is simply selling the EUR/USD pair.
On the 5-minute timeframe, two good trading signals were generated on Monday. Late at night, the price bounced off the 1.1830-1.1837 area, then repeated the trick during the European trading session. As a result, novice traders had a great opportunity to open short positions. Throughout the day, the pair decreased by 25-35 pips, which could have been easily profited from.
On the hourly timeframe, the downward correction is canceled, as the price has consolidated above the descending channel, but the pair is not showing any growth yet. At the beginning of 2026, the long-term upward trend has resumed, so we expect new growth for the euro. The overall fundamental background remains very challenging for the American currency, so we fully support further upward movement.
On Tuesday, novice traders may consider short positions if the price consolidates below the 1.1745-1.1754 area, with a target in the 1.1655-1.1666 area. A price bounce from the area of 1.1745-1.1754 will allow for opening long positions with a target of 1.1830-1.1837.
On the 5-minute timeframe, the following levels should be considered: 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527-1.1531, 1.1550, 1.1584-1.1591, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1830-1.1837, 1.1899-1.1908, 1.1970-1.1988, 1.2044-1.2056, 1.2092-1.2104. Today, a weekly ADP report on the labor market will be published in the U.S., which is of no interest to traders. In the European Union, the events calendar is completely empty. Volatility today may again be low.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
