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The GBP/USD pair also traded with low volatility on Friday, mostly sideways. Overall, after breaking the descending trend line, we did not observe any interesting movements. The British pound is gradually sliding, even though the trend has turned upward, and there are still no substantial reasons for the U.S. dollar to rise. We believe that the macroeconomic data from across the pond last week should have triggered a new wave of dollar decline, as the likelihood of a new cut in the Federal Reserve's key rate increased following the inflation report. Additionally, we cannot be entirely confident in the recovery of the labor market, as only 180,000 jobs were created in 2025, a meager figure for the American economy. Thus, we assess the U.S. macroeconomic data package as negative. British data also "fell short," but the market primarily focuses on U.S. data.
On the 5-minute timeframe on Friday, two trading signals were formed. The price bounced off the 1.3643-1.3652 range twice but only moved in the desired direction by 20 pips. This was enough to set a Stop Loss to breakeven, at which point the trade was closed. The signals duplicated each other.
On the hourly timeframe, the GBP/USD pair has broken the downward trend. There are no global grounds for medium-term growth of the dollar, so we expect the continuation of the global upward trend from 2025, which could lead the pair to the 1.4000 mark, at least. In recent weeks, the situation has often not been favorable for the British currency, and the market, after a few active weeks, is again entering a state of stagnation.
On Monday, beginner traders may consider short positions if the pair bounces from the area of 1.3643-1.3652 with a target of 1.3529-1.3543. Consolidation above the area of 1.3643-1.3652 would allow for the opening of long positions with a target of 1.3741-1.3751.
On the 5-minute timeframe, levels to trade are now 1.3319-1.3331, 1.3365, 1.3403-1.3407, 1.3437-1.3446, 1.3484-1.3489, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3643-1.3652, 1.3741-1.3751, 1.3814-1.3832, 1.3891-1.3912, 1.3975. On Monday, there are no important events scheduled in the UK or the U.S. Thus, traders will have nothing to react to throughout the day. We expect a "boring Monday."
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
