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The EUR/USD currency pair traded for only a few hours on Wednesday. Before the publication of the US labor market and unemployment reports, the market moved sluggishly and calmly, and shortly after the reports were released, it settled back into its usual rhythm. The first thing to note is that there was no storm; volatility indeed spiked for a few hours, and the dollar strengthened on the back of some fairly good Non-Farm Payroll and unemployment reports. The number of Non-Farm Payrolls for January was 130,000, well above the maximum forecast of 70,000, while the unemployment rate dropped to 4.3%, a figure no one had predicted. Consequently, it is fair that the dollar rose, but for how long? As of Thursday morning, the American currency has increased by 25 pips. This is probably not the level of growth that traders expected from strong US data. Doesn't this indicate that traders are generally not inclined to buy US dollars? It should be noted that the main reason for the decline of the American currency over the last 13 months is not the weakness of the labor market...
On the hourly timeframe, a downward correction is still in effect but could soon revert to an upward trend. Recall that the flat period that lasted for 7 months has ended. If this is the case, the long-term upward trend has resumed at the beginning of 2026. Thus, we are expecting a new medium-term decline in the dollar. The overall fundamental backdrop remains very challenging for the American currency, so we fully support further movement to the north.
On Thursday, beginner traders may consider short positions if the price consolidates below the 1.1830-1.1837 area or bounces from the 1.1899-1.1908 area. A price consolidation above the 1.1899-1.1908 area allows opening long positions with a target at 1.1970.
On the 5-minute timeframe, levels to consider include: 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527-1.1531, 1.1550, 1.1584-1.1591, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1830-1.1837, 1.1899-1.1908, 1.1970-1.1988, 1.2044-1.2056, and 1.2092-1.2104. Today, there are no significant events planned in the Eurozone, while in the US, only minor reports on new home sales and unemployment claims will be released.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
