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The test of the price at 1.3672 occurred when the MACD indicator was just beginning to move upward from the zero mark, confirming the correct entry point for buying the pound. As a result, the pair rose by more than 20 pips.
News that US retail sales showed zero growth in December negatively impacted the US dollar, supporting the British pound's position in the first half of the day. This came as an unpleasant surprise for market participants who expected some revitalization of consumer activity ahead of the holidays. The lack of growth indicates a slowdown in US economic activity, which in turn may affect the Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions.
From the perspective of macroeconomic data, today is expected to be quite quiet in the UK. Since no significant economic reports are expected, the market will likely lack new reasons to reassess the British pound's value. This creates favorable conditions for market participants who previously bet on GBP/USD's strengthening, continuing the upward trend observed last week. Yesterday's decline in the pair is likely merely a temporary correction, and without confirming negative data today, it may be completely reversed.
Regarding the intraday strategy, I will primarily rely on implementing Scenarios #1 and #2.
The thin green line represents the entry price at which one can buy the trading instrument;
The thick green line represents the approximate price where one can set Take Profit or secure profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely;
The thin red line represents the entry price at which one can sell the trading instrument;
The thick red line represents the approximate price where one can set Take Profit or secure profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely;
The MACD indicator: when entering the market, it is important to consider overbought and oversold zones.
Important: Beginner traders in the Forex market should be very careful when making entry decisions. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports are released to avoid getting caught in sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without setting stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember, for successful trading, it is essential to have a clear trading plan, as outlined above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for an intraday trader.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
