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The GBP/USD pair also traded with minimal volatility on Tuesday while maintaining an upward trend. Recall that on Monday, the descending trend line was broken, so the trend is now upward on the hourly timeframe. Yesterday, we observed a typical retracement. However, today may bring surprises. The market has already adjusted for weak US labor market and unemployment data, relying on speeches by some Federal Reserve officials and the ADP and JOLTs reports released last week, which showed disappointing figures. But it's important to note that the report values may be weak yet still better than forecasts. Conversely, strong report values could also lead to revisions (in either direction) for previous months. Therefore, it should not be assumed that the dollar will definitely fall this afternoon. Overall, the outlook for the American currency remains quite murky, but that does not mean the dollar will decline every day.
On the 5-minute timeframe, no trading signals were formed on Tuesday. This may have been for the best, as the day's movements were not particularly good, chaotic, and close to flat. More active movements are expected today. The market may begin to price in macroeconomic data from across the ocean as early as the morning.
On the hourly timeframe, the GBP/USD pair has broken the downward trend. There are no global grounds for medium-term dollar growth, so in 2026, we expect the global upward trend from 2025 to continue, which could push the pair to at least 1.4000. In recent weeks, the situation has not favored the British currency, but the pound now has every chance of returning to the 38 level.
On Wednesday, beginner traders may consider short positions if the pair consolidates below the 1.3643-1.3652 area, with a target of 1.3529-1.3543. A price consolidation above the 1.3643-1.3652 area allows opening long positions with a target of 1.3741-1.3751.
On the 5-minute timeframe, levels to consider include 1.3319-1.3331, 1.3365, 1.3403-1.3407, 1.3437-1.3446, 1.3484-1.3489, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3643-1.3652, 1.3741-1.3751, 1.3814-1.3832, 1.3891-1.3912, and 1.3975. There are no interesting events or reports scheduled in the UK on Wednesday, but in the US, important reports on the labor market and unemployment will be published. Thus, in the second half of the day, the price may start to "fly," and beginner traders should not forget about the stop loss.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
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