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On Friday, the GBP/USD pair traded higher, with no local catalysts. However, the day before, the British pound declined significantly, for which there were objectively few reasons. Yes, the results of the Bank of England meeting can be considered "conditionally dovish," but therein lies the point—conditionally. The key rate remained unchanged, and at the next meeting, the Monetary Policy Committee will vote again on the rate based on new inflation reports. Thus, we do not believe that the BoE is currently more "dovish" than the market perceives it to be. Nevertheless, the British pound is within a downward trend, unlike the euro. The trend line clearly indicates the boundaries below which the trend remains intact. This week, important labor market reports are scheduled to be released in the U.S., originally set for publication last Friday. Therefore, the dollar may well continue its winning streak.
On the 5-minute timeframe, a buy signal was generated on Friday. Early in the Asian trading session, the price surpassed the 1.3529-1.3543 range, and by the start of the European session, it had moved only a couple of pips away from the point of formation. Therefore, beginner traders could open long positions based on a clear and unambiguous signal. For the rest of the day, the price rose only.
The GBP/USD pair continues to form a downward trend on the hourly timeframe. There are no global foundations for the medium-term growth of the dollar, so in 2026, we expect the continuation of the global upward trend from 2025, which could drive the pair to a low of 1.4000. The situation has not favored the British currency over the past week, but in our view, this is just a temporary pause.
On Monday, beginner traders may consider short positions if the pair bounces from the 1.3643-1.3652 area, targeting 1.3529-1.3534. A consolidation above the area of 1.3643-1.3652 will allow for opening long positions with a target of 1.3741-1.3751.
On the 5-minute timeframe, current levels to consider include 1.3319-1.3331, 1.3365, 1.3403-1.3407, 1.3437-1.3446, 1.3484-1.3489, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3643-1.3652, 1.3741-1.3751, 1.3814-1.3832, 1.3891-1.3912, and 1.3975.
On Monday, there are no significant events or reports scheduled in the UK or the U.S. Therefore, it is likely we will see low volatility and dull movements throughout the day.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
