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The test of the price at 1.1806 occurred when the MACD indicator had already appreciated significantly from the zero mark, which limited the upward potential of the euro. The second test at 1.1806 occurred when the MACD was in overbought territory, allowing the implementation of sell scenario #2 for the euro. As a result, the pair declined to around 1.1779.
Yesterday, the European Central Bank decided to keep key interest rates unchanged, maintaining the deposit rate at 2%. According to the central bank, inflationary processes are under control, and the economic outlook for the Eurozone looks quite promising. Against this generally predictable move, the financial markets reacted with cautious optimism. This decision by the central bank demonstrates a growing strong confidence in the stability of the economic situation in the Eurozone, despite the continued presence of geopolitical challenges and fluctuations in the international arena. ECB representatives noted in their comments that the latest inflation data confirms the bank's projections and that the inflation rate is expected to remain around 2%.
This morning promises to be rich in economic data from Germany. Data on changes in industrial production and trade balance dynamics are expected to be released. The German industry, a driving force behind exports and advanced technologies, is sensitive to changes in global demand and production activity. Following a period of instability driven by external shocks, investors are closely monitoring developments in this sector. Positive news may indicate a revival of production processes or, at a minimum, their stabilization, which would support the European currency.
Simultaneously, Germany's trade balance, which is traditionally characterized by a significant positive balance, will provide insight into the ratio of exports to imports. Economists will look for confirmation of the country's export potential resilience under current conditions.
As for the intraday strategy, I will rely more on implementing scenarios #1 and #2.
The thin green line represents the entry price at which one can buy the trading instrument;
The thick green line represents the approximate price where one can set Take Profit or secure profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely;
The thin red line represents the entry price at which one can sell the trading instrument;
The thick red line represents the approximate price where one can set Take Profit or secure profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely;
The MACD indicator: when entering the market, it is important to consider overbought and oversold zones.
Important: Beginner traders in the Forex market should be very careful when making entry decisions. It is best to stay out of the market before important fundamental reports are released to avoid getting caught in sharp price fluctuations. If you decide to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without setting stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.
And remember, for successful trading, it is essential to have a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Making spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation is inherently a losing strategy for an intraday trader.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
