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The EUR/USD currency pair showed downward movement on Wednesday, but market sentiment changed several times during the day. There was no macroeconomic backdrop that day; the World Economic Forum was being held in Davos, where Donald Trump and many European leaders were to speak. Since the Greenland and tariff issues were still unresolved at that time, the market was openly nervous and hoped for a de-escalation of the conflict. As time showed, those expectations were not in vain. Donald Trump said that he had a good dialogue with NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte, during which they agreed on an accord regarding Greenland. No details are available at the moment, but the US president announced that tariffs on European countries that do not support his plans for the Danish island are being lifted. Thus, Europe and the US avoided a new round of trade conflict, and market tensions immediately eased. The dollar gained a little, and the EUR/USD pair threatens to remain within the 1.1400–1.1830 sideways channel for several more months.
On the 5-minute timeframe, only one trading signal was formed on Wednesday. At the start of the US session, the pair bounced off the 1.1745–1.1755 area with a 1-pip margin, and then continued to decline for the rest of the day. Thus, novice traders could open quite simple short positions that by the end of the day yielded profits of at least 40 pips.
On the hourly timeframe, the trend switched to upward. Thus, in the near term, the pair may return to the upper boundary of the 1.1400–1.1830 sideways channel to attempt to break it again and finally end the seven-month flat. The overall fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop remains very weak for the US dollar, but the daily-timeframe flat plays a priority role, and traders are paying almost no attention to the macroeconomic picture.
On Thursday, novice traders can open new long positions in case of a bounce from the 1.1655–1.1666 area with a target of 1.1745–1.1755. A close below the 1.1655–1.1666 area would allow opening new shorts targeting 1.1584–1.1591.
On the 5-minute timeframe, consider the levels 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527–1.1531, 1.1550, 1.1584–1.1591, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1745–1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970–1.1988. Today, no major events are scheduled in the Eurozone, while the US will publish the third estimate of Q3 GDP and several secondary reports, including the producer price index. The conflict with the EU is resolved, so volatility may return to normal levels.
Support and resistance price levels — levels that serve as targets when opening buys or sells. Take Profit can be placed near them.
Red lines — channels or trendlines that reflect the current tendency and show which direction is preferable to trade now.
MACD indicator (14,22,3) — histogram and signal line — an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.
Important speeches and reports (always listed in the news calendar) can strongly affect a currency pair's movement. Therefore, during their release, trading should be done with maximum caution, or positions should be closed, to avoid a sharp price reversal against the preceding move.
Beginner forex traders should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and effective money management are the keys to long-term trading success.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
