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The GBP/USD pair also traded higher on Tuesday, but only briefly. In the morning, the UK released reports on unemployment, initial jobless claims and wages. These reports cannot be called failures, but neither were they strong. In our view, they restrained the pound's rise. The euro had no such reports, which is why EUR/USD rose much more. Thus, the UK unemployment rate remained unchanged at 5.1% in November. The number of new unemployed amounted to 18,000 against lower forecasts. Wage growth was 4.7% versus lower forecasts. Overall, the labour data constrained buyers, but the pound nevertheless broke the descending trendline, so the trend changed to bullish. Now the key thing is for the seven-month flat in the euro pair to end. If the euro resumes the global uptrend of 2025, it will be much easier for the pound to rise as well.
On the hourly TF, the GBP/USD pair has turned north, so in the coming weeks, one can expect the pound to rise. There are no global grounds for a medium-term dollar rally, so in 2026, we expect only upside moves. Overall, we also expect the resumption of the global 2025 uptrend, which could bring the pair to 1.4000 within the next couple of months. Donald Trump's policy still does not imply USD strength.
On Wednesday, novice traders may consider short positions if the pair consolidates below the 1.3437–1.3446 area, targeting 1.3319–1.3331. Consolidation above the 1.3437–1.3446 area will allow opening new long positions targeting 1.3529–1.3543.
On the 5-minute TF, you can trade the levels 1.3043, 1.3096–1.3107, 1.3203–1.3212, 1.3259–1.3267, 1.3319–1.3331, 1.3437–1.3446, 1.3529–1.3543, 1.3574–1.3590, 1.3643–1.3652, 1.3682, 1.3763. On Wednesday, the UK will publish an important inflation report that may determine the pound's dynamics during the European session. No major events are scheduled for the afternoon, but any news related to Greenland could trigger another dollar sell-off.
Support and resistance price levels — levels that serve as targets when opening buys or sells. Take Profit can be placed near them.
Red lines — channels or trendlines that reflect the current tendency and show which direction is preferable to trade now.
MACD indicator (14,22,3) — histogram and signal line — an auxiliary indicator that can also be used as a source of signals.
Important speeches and reports (always listed in the news calendar) can strongly affect a currency pair's movement. Therefore, during their release, trading should be done with maximum caution, or positions should be closed, to avoid a sharp price reversal against the preceding move.
Beginner forex traders should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and effective money management are the keys to long-term trading success.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
