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Several macroeconomic reports are scheduled for Friday, but none of them are particularly significant. It should be noted that yesterday saw meetings of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank, along with the release of U.S. inflation data. These three important events did not provoke any substantial volatility or trending movements. Therefore, today's consumer confidence index in Germany, retail sales in the UK, and new home sales in the U.S. are unlikely to elicit a noticeable market reaction. In our opinion, the most interesting item appears to be the consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan in the U.S.
A few fundamental events are scheduled for Friday. The only notable event is a speech by the ECB's Chief Economist, Philip Lane, but the market currently has no questions for the ECB. Questions do exist regarding the Federal Reserve and the BoE. Both central banks are likely to continue easing monetary policy next year, but the questions focus on the timing and scale of those actions, as well as the dynamics between the pound and the dollar in light of the declining key rates of both the BoE and the Fed.
During the last trading day of the week, both currency pairs are expected to trade more on technical factors than on macroeconomic influences. The EUR/USD pair will likely continue to trade near the 1.1745-1.1754 area, where new trading signals should be sought. The GBP/USD pair is entirely flat, so trading should occur only at the boundaries of the sideways channel of 1.3319-1.3446. Volatility is unlikely to be high today.
Important Note: Significant speeches and reports (always included in the news calendar) can greatly influence the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade cautiously or exit the market to avoid sharp reversals against the preceding movement.
Remember: For beginners trading in the Forex market, it is important to understand that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing money management are keys to long-term trading success.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
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