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The GBP/USD pair experienced a slight correction on Friday, within an upward trend that has been developing for several weeks. The macroeconomic and fundamental backdrop was absent, as the market rested after the important Fed meeting and prepared for an even more significant week, during which the long-awaited reports on the labor market, unemployment, and inflation will be published in the US, along with the inflation report, unemployment report, and the Bank of England meeting in the UK. As we can see, this week will feature not just important, but super-important events, so there are good grounds to expect higher volatility than what we've observed in recent weeks and even months. However, at the same time, predicting where the British pound and the dollar will end up by the end of the week is impossible—there will be too much news and events. Therefore, beginner traders should exercise caution this week and keep a close eye on the events calendar. The upward trend remains intact, but prices could potentially break the trend line this week.
On the 5-minute timeframe, no trading signals were formed on Friday, as the price did not approach any of the levels. Thus, there were no grounds for beginners to open trades.
On the hourly timeframe, the GBP/USD pair continues to build a local upward trend. As mentioned earlier, there are no global grounds for medium-term dollar growth, so we expect movement only to the North. Overall, we also anticipate the resumption of the global upward trend of 2025, which could lead the pair to the 1.4000 mark in the next couple of months.
On Monday, beginner traders may consider new long positions if the price bounces off the trend line or the 1.3319-1.3331 area, targeting 1.3413-1.3421. If the specified area is broken, short positions will become relevant with a target of 1.3212.
On the 5-minute timeframe, trading can now consider the following levels: 1.2913, 1.2980-1.2993, 1.3043, 1.3096-1.3107, 1.3203-1.3212, 1.3259-1.3267, 1.3319-1.3331, 1.3413-1.3421, 1.3466-1.3475, 1.3529-1.3543, 1.3574-1.3590. No interesting events are scheduled in the UK or the US for Monday; however, the rest of the week will feature plenty of significant events. Thus, Monday may see the market resting for another day, while we expect increased volatility and movements depending on the nature of incoming data starting Tuesday.
Important Note: Significant speeches and reports (always included in the news calendar) can greatly influence the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade cautiously or exit the market to avoid sharp reversals against the preceding movement.
Remember: For beginners trading in the Forex market, it is important to understand that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing money management are keys to long-term trading success.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
