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Given the very small spike in volatility in the first half of the day, no valid entry points were formed for the Mean Reversion strategy. Using the Momentum strategy, I traded only the Japanese yen.
The euro and the pound rose in the first half of the day, continuing yesterday's bullish market following the Fed's decision to cut interest rates. However, after the initial spike caused by news from Washington, momentum weakened, and the single currency stabilized near 1.1700 against the U.S. dollar. Since the market had already largely priced in the expected rate cut, new catalysts are needed for further euro appreciation. Nonetheless, despite some consolidation, the overall tone in the currency markets remains positive for risk assets.
Next, the focus will shift to U.S. data on weekly initial jobless claims, the trade balance, and changes in wholesale inventories. Close monitoring of initial jobless claims will help assess the current state of the U.S. labor market. A rise in claims may signal slower hiring and a potential increase in unemployment, which in turn could negatively affect consumer spending, economic growth, and the U.S. dollar, which would continue to fall against risk assets.
The trade balance, reflecting the difference between exports and imports, is an important indicator of the competitiveness of U.S. goods and services on the global market. An expanding U.S. trade deficit would point to reliance on imports and may put pressure on the national currency. The session will conclude with the wholesale inventories report. An increase in inventories may indicate weakening demand and potential production cuts in the future—negative for the economy and for the dollar.
If the statistics are strong, I will rely on the Momentum strategy. If the market shows no reaction to the data, I will continue using the Mean Reversion strategy.
Momentum Strategy (Breakout) for the Second Half of the Day
For EURUSD:
For GBPUSD:
For USDJPY:
Mean Reversion Strategy (Reversal) for the Second Half of the Day
For EURUSD:
For GBPUSD:
For AUDUSD:
For USDCAD:
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
