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American stock indices once again gained upside momentum: the S&P 500 added 0.69%, the Nasdaq 100 increased by 0.82%, and the Dow Jones rose by 0.67%. The optimism in the market is tied to expectations for a more accommodative Federal Reserve policy, with investors hoping for a prompt interest rate cut. Strong data on the labor market and durable goods orders provided additional support.
Growth is also observed beyond the United States. The MSCI All Country World Index recorded its fifth consecutive positive session, reducing November losses, while Asian markets added 0.5%. Treasury bonds stabilized slightly, with the yield on 10-year bonds around 4%. The markets are now pricing in nearly an 80% probability of a rate cut next month and up to four reductions by the end of 2026. Follow the link for more details.
Investors have shed their fears and regained confidence in the strength of the US economy. The Nasdaq has achieved its best performance since 2008, and the S&P 500 continues to rise ahead of the year's end, a traditionally favorable period for stock indices. Renewed interest in stocks is also fueled by the hype surrounding artificial intelligence, which is now perceived more as a growth driver than a bubble.
Banks are revising their previous conservative forecasts: JP Morgan estimates an 11% increase in the S&P 500 by 2026, with even higher expectations under a more aggressive Fed policy. UBS, HSBC, Deutsche Bank, and Morgan Stanley also predict index growth despite the overvaluation of tech giants. In anticipation of the Christmas rally, investors are actively buying stocks, as these could signal a more dovish Federal Reserve policy. Greed is back in the market. Follow the link for more details.
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