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The EUR/USD currency pair traded very weakly on Monday. No macroeconomic or fundamental events were scheduled for the first trading day of the week, so the minimal volatility is not surprising. The market has been trading very sluggishly in recent weeks and months, and the daily timeframe (as a reminder) continues to show flat movement, which we consider a key point in analyzing the EUR/USD pair. We understand that traders (especially beginners) want to make trades and earn profits every day. However, it is essential to recognize that periods of flat trading and news lulls occur in the market. Of course, it's up to each individual to decide how to act during such periods. One can also trade and profit during flat conditions. It is crucial to understand that it is currently extremely difficult to expect even 60 pips of movement intraday. On average, the pair trades within 40-50 pips, which provides maximum potential profit per trade with perfect market entry of about 20 pips.
On the 5-minute timeframe on Monday, two trading signals were formed. By the end of the day, the price reached the level of 1.1584, bouncing off it twice, if these "twists" can even be called a "bounce." Nevertheless, today the pair may bounce off this level or even the 1.1571-1.1584 area and move up by about 30-40 pips.
On the hourly timeframe, the EUR/USD pair continues to form a new local upward trend with potential growth of another 150-200 pips. The overall fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop remains very weak for the U.S. dollar. Thus, the European currency may only show declines based on technical reasons – the flat on the daily timeframe remains relevant. However, we expect its completion and a resumption of the upward trend for 2025, and within the flat, there can also be upward movements.
On Tuesday, novice traders may trade from the area of 1.1571-1.1584. A third bounce from this area will allow for long positions with a target of 1.1655. A price consolidation below the area of 1.1571-1.1584 will make short positions relevant with a target of 1.1534.
On the 5-minute timeframe, the following levels should be considered: 1.1354-1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527-1.1531, 1.1571-1.1584, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970-1.1988. On Tuesday, no major reports or events are scheduled in Europe or the U.S. Therefore, it is likely that sideways movement will predominate today, with low volatility.
Important announcements and reports (always available in the news calendar) can significantly impact the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is recommended to trade with maximum caution or to exit the market to avoid sharp reversals against the preceding movement.
Beginners trading on the Forex market should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and money management is key to long-term success in trading.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
