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The US dollar shows no signs of slowing down and continues to demonstrate growth against riskier assets. The Federal Reserve's decision, made against a backdrop of slowing US labor market growth and ongoing uncertainty in trade policy, was a response to the need to sustain economic momentum in the US. The expected reduction in interest rates would, as expected, make the dollar less appealing to investors seeking higher returns in other currencies. However, Jerome Powell's statements modified market expectations. His cautious tone and mention of a possible end to the monetary easing cycle in the near future instilled confidence in the US economy's resilience. This, in turn, led to increased demand for the dollar as traders revised their forecasts, believing that the prospects for the American currency remained quite attractive.
In the first half of the day, data on changes in Eurozone GDP, unemployment levels, and Germany's consumer price index are expected. If the data is favorable, the euro could partially recover its losses. The market always closely monitors such reports, as they can be key factors for the short-term recovery of the European currency. The Eurozone GDP data for the third quarter will provide insight into the current state of the region's economy and its growth dynamics. If the figures exceed expectations, it may indicate greater economic resilience than previously thought, thereby supporting the euro.
The Eurozone's unemployment rate is also an important indicator that could enhance the euro's appeal. The consumer price index in Germany is equally important, as inflation is one of the key factors the European Central Bank considers when making monetary policy decisions. If the CPI indicates growth, it could suggest potential tightening of ECB policy in the future, which would also strengthen the euro.
For the UK, there is no statistical data today, making it even more challenging for pound traders.
If the data aligns with economists' expectations, it is better to operate under the Mean Reversion strategy. If the data significantly deviates above or below expectations, it is best to use the Momentum strategy.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
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