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On Tuesday, the EUR/USD pair continued drifting lower slowly and with low volatility. The euro has now declined for three straight days, despite having no fundamental or technical justification. We continue to view nearly any current growth in the U.S. dollar as illogical. Traders should keep in mind the clearly visible range-bound structure on the daily timeframe, which may be the main reason behind the unusual and erratic price movements.
On both Monday and Tuesday, there were no noteworthy economic reports or events in either the Eurozone or the United States. As a result, traders had little to react to. The upward trend on the hourly chart remains in force after the recent breakout above another descending trendline. However, the pair continues falling despite the absence of a clear reason.
On the 5-minute timeframe, only one valid trading signal was generated throughout Tuesday, and it formed during the Asian session. The price perfectly bounced off the 1.1655 level, then proceeded to decline by 40 pips. Those traders who managed to act on this signal may have booked solid short-term gains, especially considering the limited daily volatility.
On the hourly chart, EUR/USD is starting to exhibit signs of a resumed upward trend. The descending trendline has once again been broken, and the overall fundamental and macroeconomic backdrop remains unfavorable for the U.S. dollar. Therefore, we continue to anticipate further development of the 2025 bullish trend. However, traders should keep in mind that the broad sideways range on the daily timeframe continues to dictate price behavior. It is this very flat structure that leads to low volatility and irrational movements on lower timeframes.
On Wednesday, EUR/USD may move in any direction, once again due to the absence of fundamentals. The next trading signals are likely to emerge near the 1.1571–1.1584 area, where the price was located at the time of writing.
For intraday trading on the 5-minute chart, the following levels should be monitored: 1.1354–1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455–1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571–1.1584, 1.1655–1.1666, 1.1745–1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970–1.1988. On Wednesday, European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is scheduled to give another public speech, but market interest remains very low. Meanwhile, the U.S. economic calendar is empty.
Important Note for Beginners
Trading during major news events (as listed on the calendar) can significantly impact price movement. During such times, trade cautiously or step out of the market entirely to avoid a sharp reversal against your position.
Beginners must remember that not every trade can be profitable. The key to long-term success in forex is maintaining a consistent strategy, reinforcing discipline, controlling risk, and following sound money management principles.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.