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On Thursday, EUR/USD continued its upward movement, which was clearly visible on the hourly timeframe. On the 5-minute chart, however, the pair was completely flat. It was a tranquil day in terms of macroeconomic and fundamental events. More accurately, the pair has entered a stagnation phase that requires major catalysts to spur renewed volatility. Due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown, many key October reports were never released. As a result, traders still don't fully understand how the Federal Reserve will approach its rate decision at the end of the month. The market is pricing in a near-100% probability of another rate cut, yet skepticism remains—a paradox in itself. Additionally, U.S.–China trade tensions are escalating again. Therefore, there are already more than enough reasons to pressure the dollar. From a technical perspective, the pair broke through a descending trendline, so further upward movement is to be expected.
On the 5-minute timeframe, only in the evening was the first valid buy signal formed. The rest of the day, the price moved sideways within the 1.1655–1.1666 range. Since it eventually broke away from this zone, beginner traders had every reason to open long positions with a target around the 1.1745 area. At this point, stop-loss orders can be set at breakeven, and traders can continue holding for potential gains.
On the hourly chart, EUR/USD finally shows signs of a confirmed upward reversal. The descending trendline has been broken once again, and the overall fundamental and macroeconomic background for the U.S. dollar remains overwhelmingly negative. Therefore, a continuation of the 2025 uptrend seems likely.
Friday may again be a low-volatility session, as there are no major events scheduled in either the Eurozone or the U.S. A buy signal was formed on Thursday in the 1.1655–1.1666 range, so long positions remain valid with the target near the 1.1745–1.1754 zone.
On the 5-minute TF, consider the levels 1.1354-1.1363, 1.1413, 1.1455-1.1474, 1.1527, 1.1571-1.1584, 1.1655-1.1666, 1.1745-1.1754, 1.1808, 1.1851, 1.1908, 1.1970-1.1988. With no impactful news today, volatility may again remain low. However, the euro can continue inching higher, as all necessary conditions are present for further growth.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
