¡La leyenda en el equipo de InstaSpot!
¡Leyenda! ¿Cree que es una retórica grandilocuente? Pero, ¿cómo deberíamos llamar a un hombre, que se convirtió en el primer asiático en ganar el campeonato mundial de ajedrez júnior a los 18 años y en el primer Gran Maestro indio a los 19 años? Ese fue el comienzo de un camino difícil hacia el título de Campeón del Mundo para Viswanathan Anand, el hombre que se convirtió en parte de la historia del ajedrez para siempre. ¡Ahora una leyenda más en el equipo de InstaSpot!
Borussia es uno de los clubes de fútbol con más títulos en Alemania, que ha demostrado repetidamente a los fanáticos: el espíritu de competencia y liderazgo que ciertamente conducirán al éxito. Opere de la misma manera que los profesionales del deporte: con confianza y de forma activa. ¡Mantenga un "pase" del Borussia FC y lidere con InstaSpot!
While the White House and the Federal Reserve are in wait-and-see mode, the market has also decided to hold steady. Donald Trump has yet to make a final decision on whether the U.S. should intervene in the Israel-Iran conflict. Meanwhile, the Fed wants more data on the economic impact of tariffs before making any definitive rate decisions. The stagflation scenario outlined by the central bank clearly unsettled the S&P 500. The broad stock index has retreated—but calling it a "sell-off" would be an overstatement.
The Fed lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast from 1.7% (March) to 1.4%. In 2024, the economy expanded by 2.4%. At the same time, it raised its projections for inflation, from 2.7% to 3%, and for unemployment, from 4.4% to 4.5%. The central bank does not know how tariffs will ultimately impact the economy and prefers to leave its options open. It will act accordingly depending on which side of the Fed's dual mandate becomes more concerning—rising inflation or deteriorating labor conditions. If inflation surges, rates will remain unchanged; a new monetary easing cycle could begin if unemployment rises.
Although the median FOMC projection for the federal funds rate remained unchanged, seven committee members now see no rate cuts in 2025—up from four in March. Keeping borrowing costs high at 4.5% is negative for the economy and the stock market. Unsurprisingly, the U.S. President did not take the Fed's June verdict lightly.
Trump called for an immediate rate cut of 1 to 2.5 percentage points and labeled Jerome Powell a fool. He emphasized that he had already collected $88 billion in tariffs, with no rise in inflation. So why should the Fed maintain a pause? The Republican candidate is confident he could do a better job than the current Fed Chair. Sarcastically, he even asked whether he could appoint himself to the position.
It's evident that Trump is unhappy with the decline of the S&P 500. During his first presidential term, the stock market was seen as a barometer of his administration's effectiveness. There's little reason to think this perspective has changed. The market continues to react sharply to Trump's comments, which can trigger significant volatility—especially during the typically quiet summer season.
Ironically, U.S. involvement in the Middle East conflict could support the S&P 500. In such a scenario, the likelihood of Iran capitulating would rise, reducing the chance of Tehran blocking the Strait of Hormuz. A drop in oil prices would lessen inflationary pressures in the U.S. and might push the Fed toward monetary easing—a positive development for equities.
On the daily chart, recent attempts by the bulls to mount a counterattack have failed. This highlights weakness on the buy side and opens the door to short positions targeting the fair value around 5900 and the key pivot level at 5800.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
