empty
 
 
sp
Soporte
Apertura instantánea de la cuenta
Plataforma comercial
Depositar/Retirar

11.04.202508:42 Forex Analysis & Reviews: The Market Has Grown Used to Chaos

What is life if not a game? In past years, investors focused on the standoff between the Federal Reserve and financial markets. But in 2025, the rules of the game have changed. Now, it's the White House—not the central bank—that markets are testing for resilience. Donald Trump claimed winning a trade war would be easy, but the drop in the S&P 500 prior to the tariff delay announcement suggests that traders think otherwise. The Republican's step back on tariffs triggered a record surge in market capitalization. But the chaos is far from over.

The S&P 500's 9.5% rally in response to the U.S. freezing tariffs for 90 days clearly showed what markets consider the main threat to the global economy: the trade war. The next day, the White House clarified that tariffs on Chinese imports would stand at 145%—not the previously announced 125% by Trump on social media—the broad stock index fell by 3.5%.

S&P 500 Daily Performance

Exchange Rates 11.04.2025 analysis

The sell-off that followed the historic rebound in the S&P 500 was the price investors had to pay for such extreme volatility.

The White House boasts that around 70 countries are willing to negotiate, and about 15 have already submitted proposals. However, a Wall Street Journal insider claims that most proposals are simply calls to lift tariffs. The U.S. administration is expected to demand increased purchases of American goods and reductions in foreign tariffs. But this is a lengthy process, historically taking years. The first trade war with China took months to begin negotiations. Now, Donald Trump aims to revise trade agreements even faster—potentially with nearly 100 countries.

As a result, skepticism is growing over the feasibility of Washington's plans. Combined with the unpredictability of its protectionist stance and the chaotic implementation of tariffs, this erodes trust in the U.S. economy and its financial assets. Rumors have begun circulating in the market that the U.S. may need a recession to reset its fundamentals.

U.S. Treasury Yield Dynamics

Exchange Rates 11.04.2025 analysis

The trade war between the world's two largest economies will not end well for anyone. A 145% tariff is enormous, indicating that some portion of the $582 billion in Chinese imports into the U.S. will be redirected to other countries—if possible. Beijing has limited options to respond. One of them could be selling off U.S. Treasuries. Rising yields suggest that this process may already be underway.

Exchange Rates 11.04.2025 analysis

Thus, the White House's tariff delay has not ended the market chaos. U.S. equity market volatility remains elevated.

From a technical standpoint, the S&P 500 daily chart forms an inside bar with a long lower shadow. A breakout above the 5355 high could signal short-term buying. However, opening short positions on a rebound from resistance levels at 5500 and 5600 remains valid.

*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.

Marek Petkovich,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2025
Benefíciese de las recomendaciones de los analistas ahora mismo
Recargue su cuenta de operaciones
Abra una cuenta de operaciones

¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.

¿No puede hablar ahora mismo?
Ingrese su pregunta en el chat.