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There are very few macroeconomic events scheduled for Thursday, but the U.S. inflation report still holds some relevance for traders. At the moment, inflation has limited influence because virtually everyone expects it to accelerate in 2025. Therefore, even if inflation declines today, it shouldn't affect the Federal Reserve's monetary policy stance. The U.S. central bank is unlikely to lower interest rates now, only to raise them again in the second half of the year. No other significant reports are expected throughout the day.
There's still little point in discussing anything other than Trump's trade war. The dollar's decline may continue indefinitely despite last week's upward correction. We recommend that traders focus on statements from top officials of major countries and alliances regarding tariffs. Trump stated that any retaliation against his actions to "eliminate unfairness" will be met with new sanctions and tariffs.
At the same time, the U.S. president introduced a 90-day grace period for all countries except China, during which a flat 10% import tariff will apply. According to Trump, this period is meant to negotiate trade agreements. However, we'd like to point out that the likelihood of reaching deals with the EU or China remains extremely low.
Both currency pairs (EUR/USD and GBP/USD) may move in either direction on this second-to-last trading day of the week. The market remains in a state of panic and chaos, so there's no clear logic behind price movements. News about the trade war is released every few hours, and today's U.S. inflation report could also influence market behavior.
Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.
Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.
MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.
Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend.
Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.