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A stronger-than-expected report on consumer inflation in the United States, published on Tuesday, confirmed the market's expectations that the Federal Reserve would maintain interest rates at a high level. Consequently, this news led to a decline in the yellow metal. However, a combination of certain factors provides some support for gold and helps limit the maximum decline.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar retreated from the highest level observed in November amid a moderate decline in Treasury bond yields.
Alongside the overall weaker sentiment in the stock markets, this helps gold to defend itself with the support of the 100-day simple moving average (SMA). Nevertheless, the mentioned fundamental background suggests that the path of least resistance for XAU/USD is downward. Therefore, any attempt at recovery may be considered an opportunity to sell and is likely to disappear quickly.
From a technical standpoint, gold seems ready for further decline and will test the 200-day SMA. Sales below the region of $1,990 (the 100-day SMA) may expose the support of the 200-day SMA, which is currently tied to the $1,965 area.
A convincing break below the 200-day SMA will be considered a new stimulus for bears and pave the way for further short-term declines in the exchange rate. Then, the price of gold will be able to drop to intermediate support around $1,950 and subsequently decline to the November 2023 low.
On the other hand, any attempt at recovery beyond the $2,000 mark will encounter resistance around $2,011. However, subsequent purchases leading to a rise above the $2,015 level may trigger increased short position coverage and raise the price of the precious metal to the 50-day SMA, currently tied to the $2,030 zone.
A decisive breakout of $2,030 would open the way to the $2,065 supply zone, with some intermediate obstacles around $2,045.
*El análisis de mercado publicado aquí tiene la finalidad de incrementar su conocimiento, más no darle instrucciones para realizar una operación.
¡Los informes analíticos de InstaSpot lo mantendrá bien informado de las tendencias del mercado! Al ser un cliente de InstaSpot, se le proporciona una gran cantidad de servicios gratuitos para una operación eficiente.
