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21.03.202414:55 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Analysis and trading tips for EUR/USD on March 21 (US session)

Analysis of transactions and trading tips on EUR/USD

The test of 1.0921 occurred during the drop of the MACD line from zero. This provoked a sell signal, which led to a price decrease of 25 pips.

Ahead lies PMI data for the manufacturing and service sectors of the US, as well as weekly jobless claims and existing home sales volume in the secondary market. Poor indicators will lead to the rise of euro, while good data, along with the firm stance of FOMC member Michael S. Barr regarding interest rates, will increase pressure on the pair.

Exchange Rates 21.03.2024 analysis

For long positions:

Buy when euro hits 1.0927 (green line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0984. Growth will occur after weak statistics on the US labor market and dovish rhetoric from Fed representatives.

When buying, ensure that the MACD line lies above zero or rises from it. Euro can also be bought after two consecutive price tests of 1.0897, but the MACD line should be in the oversold area, as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0927 and 1.0984.

For short positions:

Sell when euro reaches 1.0897 (red line on the chart) and take profit at the price of 1.0843. Pressure will return in the case of good activity data in the US.

When selling, make sure that the MACD line lies below zero or drops down from it. Euro can also be sold after two consecutive price tests of 1.0927, but the MACD line should be in the overbought area as only by that will the market reverse to 1.0897 and 1.0843.

Exchange Rates 21.03.2024 analysis

What's on the chart:

Thin green line - entry price at which you can buy EUR/USD

Thick green line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further growth above this level is unlikely.

Thin red line - entry price at which you can sell EUR/USD

Thick red line - estimated price where you can set Take-Profit (TP) or manually fix profits, as further decline below this level is unlikely.

MACD line- it is important to be guided by overbought and oversold areas when entering the market

Important: Novice traders need to be very careful when making decisions about entering the market. Before the release of important reports, it is best to stay out of the market to avoid being caught in sharp fluctuations in the rate. If you decide to trade during the release of news, then always place stop orders to minimize losses. Without placing stop orders, you can very quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember that for successful trading, you need to have a clear trading plan. Spontaneous trading decision based on the current market situation is an inherently losing strategy for an intraday trader.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Jakub Novak,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2024
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