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26.02.202411:28 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Weekly forecast based on simplified wave analysis for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, and Gold on February 26th

EUR/USD

Analysis:

An unfinished bearish wave structure on the euro currency chart has been counting since mid-July last year. Its wave level has exceeded the scale of the daily timeframe. The final part (C) has been forming in the wave structure since the end of December. A corrective rally started within it two waves ago.

Forecast:

A gradual movement of the price towards the calculated resistance area is expected in the upcoming week. A temporary decrease in the support zone is probable in the first few days. Afterward, the anticipation is for a reversal formation and a resumption of the price ascent. Increased volatility is possible upon a change of direction.

Exchange Rates 26.02.2024 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 1.0990/1.1040

Support:

  • 1.0740/1.0690

Recommendations:

Selling: Such deals are risky due to their limited potential.

Buying: Trading in this direction may become profitable after the appearance of reversal signals in the calculated support area confirmed by your trading system.

USD/JPY

Analysis:

The analysis of the wave situation in the Japanese yen market highlights the segment with an unfinished ascending wave from December 28th of the previous year. The wave is in the final phase of its movement. Quotes have reached the lower boundary of a powerful weekly resistance zone. No signals of an imminent reversal are observed on the chart.

Forecast:

At the beginning of this week, conditions for a reversal are expected in the resistance zone. Upon a change of direction, a brief break above the upper boundary of this zone cannot be ruled out. Subsequently, a decline will follow. The calculated support indicates the lower boundary of the expected weekly move.

Exchange Rates 26.02.2024 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 150.70/151.20

Support:

  • 146.60/146.10

Recommendations:

Buying: There are no conditions for such transactions.

Selling: Prospective sales may occur after corresponding signals appear in the calculated resistance area.

GBP/JPY

Analysis:

The main direction of the price movement of the British pound/Japanese yen pair since December of the previous year is defined by an ascending wave algorithm. After a corrective phase, the pair's quotes broke through the upper boundary of a powerful potential reversal zone, turning it into support. Before continuing the ascent, the price needs to consolidate above the achieved milestone.

Forecast:

At the beginning of the upcoming week, a flat movement along the boundaries of the calculated support is expected, creating conditions for a reversal of the movement. The resumption of the price rise is more likely in the second half of the week. A sharp increase in volatility is not excluded upon a change in course.

Exchange Rates 26.02.2024 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 193.70/194.20

Support:

  • 189.80/189.30

Recommendations:

Selling: Similar transactions in the cross-market may lead to a loss of the deposit.

Buying: Deals in this direction will become relevant after confirming signals in the calculated resistance area.

USD/CAD

Analysis:

An ascending wave has been developing on the chart of the main Canadian currency pair since the end of December. In its structure, a descending correction has been forming since last month in the form of a shifting plane. At the time of analysis, quotes are close to the lower boundary of the price corridor. No signals of an immediate reversal are observed on the chart.

Forecast:

In the first half of the upcoming week, sideways tuning of price fluctuations can be expected. Pressure on the support zone is possible. Closer to the weekend, after the conditions for a change of direction are formed, an increase in the exchange rate can be anticipated up to resistance levels.

Exchange Rates 26.02.2024 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 1.3650/1.3700

Support:

  • 1.3430/1.3380

Recommendations:

Selling: Due to the limited potential, transactions in this direction are high-risk.

Buying: After confirming signals on your used trading system, buying may become the main direction for trading.

NZD/USD

Analysis:

The price movement direction of the major New Zealand Dollar pair since the end of the previous year is determined by a descending wave algorithm. In its structure, the price forms a correction in the form of a horizontal stretched plane for the entire month. This movement is in its final phase.

Forecast:

The ascending trend of the price movement is expected in the upcoming week, up to its complete completion in the calculated resistance area. Closer to the weekend, a reversal formation and the creation of conditions for the start of the downward movement of the price can be expected.

Exchange Rates 26.02.2024 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 0.6250/0.6300

Support:

  • 0.6100/0.6050

Recommendations:

Buying: Fractional volumes within individual trading sessions are possible. The resistance zone limits the potential.

Selling: Preemptive sales before reversal signals in the resistance area are premature.

Gold

Analysis:

Gold quotes continue to form a descending wave that started in December of the previous year. The wave level of the descending segment does not go beyond the correction of the previous bullish wave. The price is approaching the upper edge of the potential reversal zone of the weekly chart.

Forecast:

In the next couple of days, a continuation of the overall sideways trend in gold price fluctuations can be expected. A decrease in the support zone is likely in the first few days. Further, in this zone, conditions for a reversal are expected, with subsequent price growth. A breakthrough beyond the calculated boundaries of opposing zones during the upcoming week is unlikely.

Exchange Rates 26.02.2024 analysis

Potential Reversal Zones

Resistance:

  • 2065.0/2080.0

Support:

  • 2000.0/1985.0

Recommendations:

Selling: They have a low potential, which may lead to losses.

Buying: After confirmed signals of a course change, buying may become the main direction for trading on this instrument.

Explanations: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). Only the last unfinished wave is analyzed in each timeframe. Dashed lines indicate expected movements.

Note: Wave algorithm does not consider the duration of instrument movements in time!

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Isabel Clark,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2024
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