The legend in the InstaSpot team!
Legend! You think that's bombastic rhetoric? But how should we call a man, who became the first Asian to win the junior world chess championship at 18 and who became the first Indian Grandmaster at 19? That was the start of a hard path to the World Champion title for Viswanathan Anand, the man who became a part of history of chess forever. Now one more legend in the InstaSpot team!
Borussia is one of the most titled football clubs in Germany, which has repeatedly proved to fans: the spirit of competition and leadership will certainly lead to success. Trade in the same way that sports professionals play the game: confidently and actively. Keep a "pass" from Borussia FC and be in the lead with InstaSpot!
在 6 月的歐洲央行會議之後,央行將利率上調 25 個基點,並再次重申其對抗通膨的決心,當時市場相當確信緊縮周期將會持續。不過,在過去三週內,央行的說法已略為轉趨溫和:目前市場預期顯示,升息與暫停升息的機率大致相當。至於 9 月的決策,情況仍偏向「鷹派」:根據 Danske Bank 的估計,升息的機率約為 60%。
市場目前預期,聯準會與 ECB 在年底前各自還將升息一次。在此情境下,利差大致維持穩定,EUR/USD 匯率將主要受後續公布的宏觀經濟數據所驅動。在當前環境下,歐元顯得相對脆弱:雙方經濟體的結構性問題可能引發危機狀況,而在此類情勢下,U.S. dollar 一向作為主要避險貨幣而受益。
歐元的投機性部位再度回到中性狀態,淨多單於一週內減少 41 億美元,幾乎回落至零,同時估值水準也自長期平均值下移。
一週前,我們預期歐元/美元將進一步下跌,而儘管歐元在上週回落後出現小幅修正,這一預測目前仍然有效。我們預計匯價將再次測試1.1353這一技術水準,並進一步走向1.1128的支撐位。當前的修正性反彈動能幾乎已經耗盡,匯價向最近阻力位1.1500上行的可能性相當有限。
*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。
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