AUD/USD: The Threat of an Energy Collapse Is Growing
Last week's published Australian Q2 GDP data looked positive on the surface, but a closer look shows that growth of 1.5% in H1 is nearly half the pace seen.
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US dollar: strong labor market nudges Fed to make decision
The US Department of Labor reported the creation of 162,000 new jobs in August, a result three times higher than forecast and the strongest reading in five months, fully offsetting.
USD: Fed Chair Warsh Presents a Hawkish Forecast
The probability of a September rate hike by the Federal Reserve soared from 35% to 60% following Kevin Warsh's speech at Jackson Hole, and the dollar, which was balancing.
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GBP/USD: The Pound Rises Amid Weak Data
The past week delivered a mix of conflicting signals for the British pound. The labor market is weakening, inflation is accelerating, and retail sales are disappointing—seemingly a recipe for currency.
US dollar: economy loses ground, geopolitics prevents collapse
The July consumer price index ticked up 0.1% month-on-month, while the year-on-year rate slowed to 3.4% from June's 3.5%. The producer price index showed zero growth for the month.
GBP/USD: Geopolitics Stronger Than Macroeconomics
August data on business activity indexes released by S&P Global slightly disappointed. The composite PMI declined to 52.2 from 52.8 in the previous month, while the services PMI fell.
USD/JPY: Currency Intervention to Go Down in History
July 2026 will enter the history of the currency market as the month when Japan and the U.S. jointly united for the first time in 15 years to defend.
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