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Treasury yields drive EUR/USD back to lows as dollar strengthens on geopolitical risk

08:23 2026-07-24 UTC--4 Relevance up to 07:00 2026-07-29 UTC--4

Autor: Igor Kovalyov

Popular analytics

Overview of the EUR/USD Pair. July 24. The Market Doesn't Quite Understand What It Wants from the ECB

01:51 2026-07-24 UTC--4

Trading Signals for GOLD on July 24-27, 2026: buy above $4,020 (61.8% - 2/8 Murray)

02:14 2026-07-24 UTC--4

What to Pay Attention to on July 24? Analysis of Fundamental Events for Beginners

01:51 2026-07-24 UTC--4

XAU/USD: analysis and forecast. Gold extends its weakness

02:37 2026-07-24 UTC--4

Trading Signals for Ethereum (ETH) on July 24-27, 2026: buy above $1,850 (21 SMA - 3/8 Murray)

02:22 2026-07-24 UTC--4

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Hot topic: Coronavirus (COVID-19)

Fundamental analysis Relevance up to 07:00 2026-07-27 UTC--4

USD/JPY Above 163: Trade Deficit, Geopolitics, and the Failure of Monetary Policy

The USD/JPY currency pair broke above the psychological 163.00 level, reaching 163.24 during the Asian session. This marks its highest level since 1986 and reflects the combined impact of several.

Fundamental analysis Relevance up to 11:00 2026-07-26 UTC--4

USD/CAD Analysis: Canadian Inflation Slows, Bank of Canada Maintains a Wait-and-See Approach

The inflation report released on July 20 delivered a surprise: annual inflation slowed more than expected, while the key core inflation measures fell below the Bank of Canada's 2% target.

Fundamental analysis Relevance up to 05:00 2026-07-26 UTC--4

NZD/USD: RBNZ likely to hike despite weak economy

The inflation report for Q2 2026, released on July 20, proved decisive in strengthening expectations for further monetary tightening by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). In turn, that.

Fundamental analysis Relevance up to 13:00 2026-07-25 UTC--4

AUD/USD: Inflation, Employment, and Geopolitics

The macroeconomic indicators released last week from Australia presented a mixed picture. On one hand, the Melbourne Institute's June inflation index showed signs of disinflation, decreasing by 0.4% month-on-month.

Fundamental analysis Relevance up to 09:00 2026-07-25 UTC--4

GBP/USD: Political Transition and Inflation Risks

The change of prime minister in the United Kingdom took place without disruption, with Andy Burnham officially assuming office on July 20. Markets reacted positively: the pound strengthened.

Fundamental analysis Relevance up to 08:00 2026-07-25 UTC--4

EUR/USD under pressure after industrial slump and record trade deficit

Last week delivered a fresh macroeconomic blow to the euro. The Eurostat data published July 15–17, confirmed a deterioration in the euro area's fundamentals amid persistent geopolitical tensions and costly.

Fundamental analysis Relevance up to 05:00 2026-07-25 UTC--4

Oil acts as shield for USD: war with Iran outweighs inflation

The latest CFTC report shows the first signs of a turning point in dollar positioning. A week earlier, the aggregate long USD position on IMM futures had reached its highest.

Fundamental analysis

USD/JPY: Oil Prices Continue to Pressure the Yen

Japan's economy is facing a new wave of inflationary pressure. Tokyo's Consumer Price Index (CPI)—a key leading indicator for nationwide inflation—accelerated to 1.7% year-on-year in June, while the core.

Fundamental analysis

USD/CAD: Bank of Canada Pause, Oil Price Shock, and US Recession Risks

Statistics Canada's June labor market report delivered moderately positive signals. The economy added 18,000 jobs, exceeding analysts' expectations of 10,000, while the unemployment rate declined to 6.5%, its lowest level.

Fundamental analysis

AUD/USD: Recovery of Confidence Faces Geopolitical Risks

The July Westpac-Melbourne Institute consumer confidence index showed a notable increase of 4.1%, reaching 83.9 points from 80.6 in June. This is the highest level since the beginning.

Fundamental analysis

NZD/USD: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) Raises Rate to 2.50%

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has raised the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points to 2.50%, which aligns with market expectations. The decision was made.

Fundamental analysis

EUR/USD: The Euro Loses Ground Amid Macroeconomic Risks

Following the June ECB meeting, during which the central bank raised rates by 25 basis points and reaffirmed its commitment to fighting inflation, the market was confident that the tightening.

Fundamental analysis

USD: Strong Dollar Against Weak Data

The labor market data released on Thursday was weaker than expected, triggering a rise in U.S. and European government bond yields and a weakening of the dollar against the euro.

Fundamental analysis

Australia: inflation cools in May as trimmed-mean core rises, RBA faces recession risk

Consumer inflation in Australia slowed in May to 4.0% year-on-year, which turned out to be a surprise as forecasts had pointed to 4.4%. At the same time, core inflation, calculated.

Fundamental analysis

New Zealand GDP broadly matches forecasts; RBNZ July hike odds remain high

Data on New Zealand's GDP for the first quarter was broadly in line with forecasts, the economy continues a moderate recovery, and fourth-quarter data for last year was revised.

Fundamental analysis

The Pound May Continue to Decline

Last week, the Bank of England (BoE) unsurprisingly maintained the key interest rate at 3.75%, making this decision by a majority vote (7 to 2). This wait-and-see position, despite weak.

Fundamental analysis

Forecast for EUR/USD: Fed Tightens Stance, ECB Remains Cautious

Global markets continue to react to the U.S. Federal Reserve's "hawkish" pivot, which has led to a significant strengthening of the dollar. If previously futures had suggested the first rate.

Fundamental analysis

Australian Dollar: Bearish Sentiment Strengthens

Real GDP per capita declined by 0.1% in the first quarter, marking the tenth contraction in the past 15 quarters. The Westpac Leading Index, which is designed to forecast economic.

Fundamental analysis

GBP/USD Awaiting Bank of England Decisions and Macroeconomic Data

The Bank of England will hold its next monetary policy meeting on Thursday. The markets are firmly convinced that the rate will remain at 3.75%, and the main focus will.

Fundamental analysis

ECB Decision: Tightening Rate and Its Impact on the Euro

In June, the ZEW Economic Sentiment Index showed a significant increase, rising by 20.7 points to a level of +10.5 points. However, the assessment of the current economic situation.

Fundamental analysis

Bank of Japan Expected to Raise Rates, Currency Intervention May Not Be Required

Real GDP growth in Q1 was slightly revised downward to +0.5% q/q and +1.8% y/y, compared with the initial estimate of +0.5% and +2.1%. The first quarter only partially reflected.

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