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Gold is trading around $4,027, rebounding after hitting $3,989—a price not seen since mid-August. We believe the euro is under downward pressure and could continue to fall in the coming days.
As shown in the chart, gold is trading below the 200-day moving average and the 21-day simple moving average (SMA), and is reaching solid support levels, as the psychological $4,000 level has previously served as a support point for a technical rebound.
If the price of gold consolidates above $4,000 in the coming days, this could be considered a buying opportunity, with targets at the 21-day simple moving average (SMA), around $4,093. Ultimately, we expect it to reach the upper band of the downtrend channel formed since early October, around $4,140.
On the other hand, if gold pulls back again to test the -1/8 Murray support level and the price holds above $3,984, this could be considered a buying opportunity, as this area represents strong support that also coincides with the lower band of the downtrend channel.
Our outlook for the coming days is to buy gold. If the price remains above the psychological level of $4,000, this will give us the opportunity to buy in anticipation of it reaching $4,140. If it breaks above the downtrend channel, it could even reach the 200-day moving average.
Our strategy for the coming days will be to buy gold. If the price remains above the psychological level of $4,000, this will give us the opportunity to buy in anticipation of it reaching $4,140; and if it breaks above the downtrend channel, it could reach the 200 EMA level, around $4,200. Finally, we believe that, before continuing its primary downtrend, gold should reach $4,300, which would also close the gap from September 23, around $4,279.
If a pullback toward $4,000 or $3,990 occurs in the coming hours, we could buy on the technical rebound with a stop-loss below the lower band of the downtrend channel or below that daily support level. S_1.
*Analiza tržišta koja se ovde nalazi namenjena je boljem razumevanju tržišta i ne pruža instrukcije za vršenje trgovanja.
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