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10.12.202509:17 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD: Simple Trading Tips for Beginner Traders on December 10. Analysis of Yesterday's Forex Trades

Relevance up to 01:00 2025-12-11 UTC--5

Analysis of Trades and Trading Tips for the Euro

The test of the price at 1.1635 coincided with the MACD indicator being significantly below the zero mark, which limited the pair's downward potential. For this reason, I did not sell the euro. The second test of 1.1635 shortly after occurred when the MACD was in the oversold area, allowing for the realization of Scenario 2 for a buy, but it did not lead to a significant increase in the pair.

Strong private-sector employment data from ADP and figures on job openings and labor turnover in the US supported the dollar against the euro in the afternoon. Investors interpreted this data as a signal that the US labor market is not as weak as it might initially seem. However, this data does not provide the whole picture, so it is premature to draw conclusions solely from it. The future dynamics of the dollar will continue to depend on US macroeconomic indicators and signals from the Federal Reserve regarding the future trajectory of interest rates.

Today, in the first half of the day, data on changes in Italy's industrial production and a speech from European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde are expected. The industrial production data will provide insight into the state of the country's economy. Analysts will closely monitor these figures to determine whether the industry is recovering after recent challenges stemming from US tariffs and high energy prices. Positive data may strengthen the euro. Lagarde's speech will be a particularly important moment of the day. Markets will closely monitor any signals on the ECB's future monetary policy. Investors will want to know how the ECB assesses the current economic situation, inflationary pressures, and interest rate prospects.

Regarding the intraday strategy, I will rely more on executing Scenarios 1 and 2.

Exchange Rates 10.12.2025 analysis

Buy Scenarios

Scenario 1: Today, I can buy euros upon reaching a price around 1.1645 (green line on the chart) with a target of rising to the level of 1.1666. At the 1.1666 level, I plan to exit the market and immediately sell euros in the opposite direction, aiming for a move of 30-35 pips from the entry point. Growth in the euro can only be expected after good data. Important! Before buying, ensure the MACD indicator is above the zero mark and just starting an upward move from it.

Scenario 2: I also plan to buy euros today if the price tests 1.1626 twice in a row while the MACD indicator is in the oversold area. This will limit the pair's downside potential and lead to an upward market reversal. A rise can be expected to the opposite levels of 1.1645 and 1.1666.

Sell Scenarios

Scenario 1: I plan to sell euros once the price reaches 1.1626 (red line on the chart). The target will be at level 1.1605, where I intend to exit the market and immediately buy back in the opposite direction (aiming for a movement of 20-25 pips in the opposite direction from this level). Pressure on the pair will return with weak data. Important! Before selling, ensure that the MACD indicator is below the zero mark and just starting its downward movement from it.

Scenario 2: I also plan to sell euros today if the price tests 1.1645 twice in a row while the MACD indicator is in the overbought area. This will limit the pair's upward potential and lead to a market reversal downward. A decline can be expected to the opposite levels of 1.1626 and 1.1605.

Exchange Rates 10.12.2025 analysis

What's on the Chart:

  • Thin green line – entry price at which you can buy the trading instrument;
  • Thick green line – estimated price where you can set Take Profit or take profit yourself, as further growth above this level is unlikely;
  • Thin red line – entry price at which you can sell the trading instrument;
  • Thick red line – estimated price where you can set Take Profit or take profit yourself, as further decline below this level is unlikely;
  • MACD Indicator. When entering the market, it is essential to be guided by overbought and oversold zones.

Important: Beginner traders in the Forex market need to make entry decisions with great caution. It is best to stay out of the market before significant fundamental reports to avoid sudden price fluctuations. If you choose to trade during news releases, always set stop orders to minimize losses. Without setting stop orders, you can quickly lose your entire deposit, especially if you do not use money management and trade large volumes.

And remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan, like the one presented above. Spontaneous trading decisions based on the current market situation are inherently a losing strategy for the intraday trader.

*تعینات کیا مراد ہے مارکیٹ کے تجزیات یہاں ارسال کیے جاتے ہیں جس کا مقصد آپ کی بیداری بڑھانا ہے، لیکن تجارت کرنے کے لئے ہدایات دینا نہیں.

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