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20.07.202618:20 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading Signals for CRUDE OIL on July 20-23, 2026: buy above $81.25 (21 SMA - 5/8Murray)

Relevance up to 12:00 UTC--4

Exchange Rates 20.07.2026 analysis

Crude oil is trading around $81.25, undergoing a technical correction after falling below $85,000 at the market open following a gap. It is now likely to continue falling over the next few days until it reaches the lower band of the uptrend channel, around $79.43.

If crude oil consolidates above $81.25 in the coming hours, this could be interpreted as a signal to continue buying, with targets at the 6/8 Murray level, around $87.50.

Conversely, if crude oil falls below the 5/8 Murray level, this could be interpreted as a signal that the downtrend will continue. Oil could even break out of the uptrend channel and reach the 4/8 Murray level, around $75.00.

Since crude oil is currently above a series of support levels—including the psychological $80 mark, the 21-period simple moving average (SMA), and the 200-period exponential moving average (EMA)—any pullback toward the lower band of the uptrend channel will be interpreted as a signal to continue buying in the coming hours or days.

The ultimate target for crude oil is the 6/8 Murray level, around $87.50.

On the downside, we note that the Eagle indicator is showing an extreme overbought signal, suggesting the possibility of a technical correction in the coming days; therefore, below the 5/8 Murray level, we will look for opportunities to sell crude oil with a target at $75.

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