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05.03.201905:31 Forex Analysis & Reviews: While investors are hunting for profitability, the dollar will grow

Long-term review

Exchange Rates 05.03.2019 analysis

The dollar began on Monday with growth against major currencies amid growing weakness of the euro, encouraging hedge funds to increase their rates. While the Fed took a pause in its multi-year rate increase cycle of rate hikes, the higher US government bond yields against counterparties which means that the advantage over interest rates remains firm in the United States, especially against the backdrop of declining fears about the prospects of the global economy. Markets still believe that the growth of bond yields is more than enough to compensate for the pause in policy tightening. The only thing that is doubtful about the further growth of the dollar is world trade.

Exchange Rates 05.03.2019 analysis

The increase in profitability occurred against the background of falling volatility, especially in foreign exchange markets, where participants are actively looking for opportunities to trade, including loans in low-yielding currencies such as the yen or the euro, and the purchase of high-yielding currencies, such as the dollar. Hedge funds have increased their long rates in dollars, and the latest position data shows that net positions rose to $ 27.24 billion in the week ending March 1.

This year, hopes that some of the world's large central banks will raise interest rates since it have weakened in recent weeks amid weak economic data. Some analysts are now expecting a new batch of cheap loans for banks from the ECB, which will increase the dollar rate.

Irina Maksimova,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
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