01.09.202614:01 Analisis Forex & Kajian: Cryptocurrency Trading Recommendations – September 1 (US Session)

Bitcoin and Ether edged lower during the first half of the day, continuing to trade within a narrow range following the major sell-off recorded at the end of last week.

Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETFs attracted $216.7 million yesterday alone, while Ether funds added another $87.68 million, continuing the series of inflows that has characterized the market for almost the entire past month. XRP attracted $5.64 million, SOL $925,000, and HBAR a symbolic $399,000. HYPE, LINK, AVAX, DOGE, DOT, LTC, and BNB recorded zero inflows, which contrasts somewhat with the broader altcoin participation seen a week earlier, when six or seven assets were simultaneously recording positive inflows.

The figures themselves look modest compared with the record weekly results at the end of August, but this moderation is consistent with the market's changed sentiment. The Fear and Greed Index has retreated to the neutral zone at around 58 points, well below the peak levels of 74–80 recorded during the height of the August rally following the Treasury's decision to double bond buybacks.

The index's shift from the greed zone into neutral territory is not in itself a negative signal. Rather, it reflects the market's more measured assessment of risks following a month of extreme optimism. For comparison, the lowest level of the index in this cycle was recorded on February 5 at 10 points, when Bitcoin was trading at around $63,548, while the peak reading of 82 points coincided with the asset's all-time high in October. The current reading of 58 points, with the price holding well above the February lows, indicates a market in a state of cautious equilibrium, where institutional demand through ETFs continues but without the euphoria that drove the market a week ago.

Bitcoin

Buy Scenario

Scenario #1: Today, I will buy Bitcoin when the entry point is reached around $78,200, with a target of a rise to $79,000. Around $79,000, I will exit the long position and immediately look to sell on a rebound. Before buying on a breakout, it is necessary to make sure that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and that the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.

Scenario #2: Bitcoin can be bought from the lower boundary at $77,800 if there is no market reaction to a breakout below this level, with a return toward $78,200 and $79,000.

Sell Scenario

Scenario #1: Today, I will sell Bitcoin when the entry point is reached around $77,800, with a target of a decline to $77,000. Around $77,000, I will exit the short position and immediately look to buy on a rebound. Before selling on a breakout, it is necessary to make sure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and that the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.

Scenario #2: Bitcoin can be sold from the upper boundary at $78,200 if there is no market reaction to a breakout above this level, with a return toward $77,800 and $77,000.

Ethereum

Buy Scenario

Scenario #1: Today, I will buy Ether when the entry point is reached around $2,469, with a target of a rise to $2,499. Around $2,499, I will exit the long position and immediately look to sell on a rebound. Before buying on a breakout, it is necessary to make sure that the 50-day moving average is below the current price and that the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.

Scenario #2: Ether can be bought from the lower boundary at $2,450 if there is no market reaction to a breakout below this level, with a return toward $2,469 and $2,499.

Sell Scenario

Scenario #1: Today, I will sell Ether when the entry point is reached around $2,450, with a target of a decline to $2,422. Around $2,422, I will exit the short position and immediately look to buy on a rebound. Before selling on a breakout, it is necessary to make sure that the 50-day moving average is above the current price and that the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.

Scenario #2: Ether can be sold from the upper boundary at $2,469 if there is no market reaction to a breakout above this level, with a return toward $2,450 and $2,422.