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Trade review and tips for trading the euro
The test of the 1.1764 price level occurred when the MACD indicator had just begun moving upward from the zero line, confirming a valid entry point for buying the euro. However, the pair did not develop a strong upward move.
The U.S. trading session will take place without any economic data releases, shifting the focus to fresh comments from officials in the United States and Iran regarding a peaceful resolution. Recently, traders have been closely monitoring geopolitical developments, as any change in the negotiation process could have significant consequences. The recent trend toward stabilization, as noted earlier, appears to be a fragile balance that could easily be disrupted by careless statements or actions. New comments are expected to clarify the current state of negotiations and assess possible compromises. Of particular interest are signals suggesting either a resumption of dialogue or, conversely, a deepening of disagreements on key issues—from uranium enrichment to the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz.
As for the intraday strategy, I will mainly rely on scenarios No. 1 and No. 2.
Buy Signal
Scenario No. 1: Today, buying the euro is possible when the price reaches around 1.1786 (green line on the chart), with a target of 1.1813. At 1.1813, I plan to exit the market and also consider selling in the opposite direction, aiming for a 30–35 point move from the entry level. A rise in the euro today can be expected only if there is positive news on negotiations.Important: Before buying, make sure the MACD indicator is above the zero line and just beginning to rise.
Scenario No. 2: I will also consider buying the euro if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1763 level while the MACD indicator is in the oversold zone. This would limit the pair's downward potential and trigger an upward reversal. Growth toward 1.1786 and 1.1813 can be expected.
Sell Signal
Scenario No. 1: I plan to sell the euro after it reaches the 1.1763 level (red line on the chart). The target will be 1.1733, where I intend to exit the market and open a buy position in the opposite direction (targeting a 20–25 point move). Pressure on the pair may return today if the U.S. and Iran take a hardline stance.Important: Before selling, make sure the MACD indicator is below the zero line and just starting to decline.
Scenario No. 2: I will also consider selling the euro if there are two consecutive tests of the 1.1786 level while the MACD indicator is in the overbought zone. This would limit the pair's upward potential and trigger a downward reversal. A decline toward 1.1763 and 1.1733 can be expected.
Chart Notes
Important: Beginner Forex traders should be very cautious when making market entry decisions. It is best to stay out of the market before major fundamental reports are released to avoid sharp price fluctuations. If you choose to trade during news releases, always use stop-loss orders to minimize potential losses. Without stop-losses, you can quickly lose your entire deposit—especially if you do not apply proper money management and trade large volumes.
Remember, successful trading requires a clear trading plan like the one outlined above. Spontaneous decisions based on current market conditions are a losing strategy for intraday traders.
* Analisis pasaran yang disiarkan di sini adalah bertujuan untuk meningkatkan kesedaran anda, tetapi tidak untuk memberi arahan untuk membuat perdagangan.
Kajian analisis InstaSpot akan membuat anda mengetahui sepenuhnya aliran pasaran! Sebagai pelanggan InstaSpot, anda disediakan sejumlah besar perkhidmatan percuma untuk dagangan yang cekap.
