06.04.202611:50 Analisis Forex & Kajian: Weekly Forecast Based on Simplified Wave Analysis for EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/JPY, USD/CAD, NZD/USD, and Gold – April 6th

EUR/USD

Analysis: On the chart of the euro, price movement since late January has been defined by a downward wave algorithm. Over the past month, the wave structure has formed a corrective flat. The price extremes have created a horizontal channel. The final part (C) is developing within the correction structure.

Forecast: Next week, sideways movement is expected within opposing zones. Early in the week, a downward movement toward the lower boundary of the channel is likely. Growth may resume closer to the weekend.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

• 1.1630–1.1680

Support:

• 1.1450–1.1400

Recommendations:Selling: May be profitable with reduced position size and short intraday trades.Buying: Premature until reversal signals appear near resistance.

USD/JPY

Analysis: The upward wave that began in April last year is forming its final part (C). Since March 13, a counter correction has been developing, taking the form of a shifting flat and not yet complete.

Forecast: In the coming days, sideways movement along the support zone is expected. A brief dip below support is possible. Later, conditions for a reversal may form, with growth resuming in the second half of the week.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

• 160.90–161.40

Support:

• 158.80–158.30

Recommendations:Selling: High risk, low potential.Buying: Relevant after confirmed reversal signals near resistance.

GBP/JPY

Analysis: Since July last year, the main direction has been upward. After a zigzag wave ended in late January, a new upward segment began forming during a flat phase. The middle part (B) of this wave is nearing completion.

Forecast: In the next couple of days, sideways movement with a slight downward bias is expected. A reversal may form near support, with upward movement resuming in the second half of the week.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

• 212.50–213.00

Support:

• 209.40–208.90

Recommendations:Selling: High risk, low potential.Buying: Attractive after confirmed reversal signals near resistance.

USD/CAD

Analysis: The 4-hour chart shows the formation of an upward wave starting from late January. The structure is not yet complete. Since late March, a downward corrective move with reversal potential has been forming.

Forecast: In the next few days, sideways movement is expected, with a possible rise toward resistance. In the second half of the week, a reversal and decline toward support is likely. This support aligns with a strong higher timeframe reversal zone.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

• 1.3960–1.4010

Support:

• 1.3870–1.3820

Recommendations:Selling: Risky, limited potential.Buying: Possible after signals appear; upside is limited by resistance.

NZD/USD

Analysis: The short-term unfinished wave is downward, starting from late January. In recent weeks, an internal correction has formed. The downward move since April 3 has reversal potential.

Forecast: At the start of the week, sideways movement is expected. A temporary upward move toward resistance is possible. After that, a reversal and continued decline are likely. The support zone marks the lower boundary of the expected weekly range.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

• 0.5730–0.5780

Support:

• 0.5600–0.5550

Recommendations:Buying: High risk, low potential.Selling: May become the main strategy after confirmed reversal signals near resistance.

Gold

Analysis: The short-term wave in gold has been downward since January 29. Over the past two months, prices have moved sideways, forming a corrective part (B) in the shape of a shifting flat. The correction is not yet complete. Price is approaching the lower boundary of a higher timeframe reversal zone.

Forecast: In the next couple of days, sideways movement is most likely, possibly with a decline toward support. In the second half of the week, volatility may increase, with a reversal and renewed upward movement.

Potential reversal zones

Resistance:

• 4780.0–4800.0

Support:

• 4600.0–4580.0

Recommendations:Selling: Limited potential, risk of losses.Buying: Relevant after confirmed signals near support.

Notes: In simplified wave analysis (SWA), all waves consist of three parts (A–B–C). The analysis focuses on the latest unfinished wave on each timeframe. Dashed lines indicate expected movements.

Important: Wave analysis does not account for the duration of price movements in time.