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The downward wave has shaped the short-term movement of the British pound for the past six months. Since mid-January, a counter-trend bullish wave has been forming, showing strong reversal potential. Currently, the price is near the upper boundary of a major weekly reversal zone.
At the start of the upcoming week, sideways movement is expected, with a possible decline toward support before a reversal and price recovery. The resistance zone is located at the lower boundary of the preliminary target area.
AUD/USD
The downward wave pattern in the Australian dollar has been completed. Over the past two weeks, prices have formed a bullish reversal wave of a higher wave level. The final section (C) is currently forming, and the price has reached the lower boundary of a potential reversal zone.
In the coming days, the pair is likely to continue its sideways movement with a slight upward bias. A test of resistance and a brief breakout of its upper boundary is possible. However, by the weekend, a reversal and decline are more likely.
USD/CHF
Since late December, an upward wave has defined the movement of USD/CHF. However, this wave now appears to be complete. Since early February, the pair has been in a correction phase, which is nearing its final stage.
Throughout the week, a sideways movement is expected. In the next few days, a bearish bias is more likely, with potential pressure on the lower support boundary. A reversal and renewed growth may occur by the end of the week.
EUR/JPY
The incomplete upward wave pattern in EUR/JPY has been developing since August 5. The price extremes form a shifting horizontal plane, with one final wave section yet to be completed. The calculated resistance level is at the lower boundary of a weekly reversal zone.
A downward trend is expected in the coming days, followed by a sideways drift after touching the support zone. A temporary breakout below support is possible, with an increased likelihood of an upward reversal by the weekend.
EUR/GBP
EUR/GBP has followed a long-term downtrend, which remains incomplete. Since November, prices have been consolidating, forming a prolonged correction, which is still ongoing. Over the past three weeks, the pair has remained near the upper boundary of its established trading range.
During the first half of the week, sideways movement is likely, with a possible test of resistance. A trend reversal and decline toward support are expected after resistance is tested.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
Since September, the U.S. Dollar Index has been in a bullish wave. However, since February 3, a bearish wave has emerged, reaching the upper boundary of a potential reversal zone. The latest correction phase is still incomplete.
In the coming days, the current decline should conclude. A reversal is expected near support, leading to a resumption of dollar strength by the end of the week or early next week.
Explanation of Simplified Wave Analysis (SWA)
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