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The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of major currencies, is attracting buyers on Wednesday who are stepping in after recent weakness. The index has recouped some losses from yesterday's pullback and resumed trading above the 102.00 level. DXY is trading close to the recent peak seen on Monday, the highest level since April 2025, ahead of the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes.
Traders are looking for further signals about the Fed's next moves amid a reduced probability of an October rate hike. Those signals will materially affect DXY's near-term path. Despite the lower odds for a move in October, the market still prices in roughly an 85% chance of at least one Fed rate increase by year-end. Geopolitical uncertainty and rising US Treasury yields are also underpinning demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset.
Geopolitical developments are contributing to the dollar bid. Amid the current Middle East crisis, forces aligned with Yemen's internationally recognized government and backed by Saudi Arabia have reportedly secured control of strategic points along the Red Sea coast, including areas around the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait. In response, the Iran-aligned Houthi group attacked key facilities in Saudi Arabia, including an Aramco refinery in Riyadh.
Meanwhile, Iran has stepped up activity in the Strait of Hormuz in recent days, supporting a rebound in oil prices from monthly lows. At the same time, U.S. Treasury yields remain near multi-year highs. That combination provides extra support for the DXY and reinforces expectations for the continuation of the uptrend seen over the past month. As a result, any corrective pullbacks are likely to be limited and could present buying opportunities; investors should nonetheless exercise caution before concluding the index has reached a short-term peak.
Technically, DXY retains a short?term bullish bias, trading above the round 102.00 level. The bullish tone is confirmed by technical oscillators, though the 14-period relative strength index (RSI) at 71.45 indicates strong buying pressure. That reading also signals overbought conditions and warns of a potential pause or a modest corrective pullback in the near term. Support sits at 101.75, while resistance is at 102.22.
The table below shows the percentage change in the US dollar versus major currencies for today. The largest gains were recorded against the Japanese yen.
*La presente analisi del mercato ha un carattere esclusivamente informativo e non rappresenta una guida per l`effettuazione di una transazione.
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