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According to the latest data, Bitcoin ETFs haven't seen a single positive day since mid-May — and the scale of outflows has already reached historic levels.
Over four consecutive weeks of losses, funds saw $5.4 billion of net outflows, $1.72 billion of which left just last week. For comparison: that entire amount is comparable to the combined inflows during several months of the market's strong run in early 2025. Thirteen consecutive red days for Bitcoin, seventeen for Ethereum.
BlackRock moved nearly $2.2 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum to Coinbase Prime over ten days. Fidelity's custody, which holds part of Strategy's reserves, shrank by 15,000 coins in a week. The picture is made up of many pressure points — and they all point in the same direction.
Against this backdrop, Bitcoin broke the psychologically important $60,000 level — a floor that a year ago still seemed a reliable support for any correction. Dropping below $60,000 changes the technical picture dramatically: the next significant support zone is around $53,000 — the average purchase price of Bitcoin by investors that CryptoQuant warned about. Historically, bear markets only ended after testing this level and a "real capitulation" — the moment when the last holders give up and lock in losses. According to CryptoQuant, such capitulation hasn't happened yet: a substantial portion of short- and medium-term holders' PnL has not reached deeply negative territory. That means the market still carries a large overhang of potential sellers.
So, if anyone is counting on a quick correction or pullback in crypto, don't expect big pumps anytime soon.
Trading recommendations
Bitcoin
Buyers are currently targeting a return to $63,600, which would open a direct path to $65,800, and then to $67,700 — breaking that would signal attempts to restore a bull market. On a drop, buyers are expected at $61,100. A return below that area could quickly push BTC toward $59,600, with the furthest target around $58,200.
Ethereum
A clear hold above $1,724 opens a direct path to $1,783. The furthest target is the high near $1,838; overcoming that would indicate strengthening bullish sentiment and renewed buyer interest. On a decline, buyers are expected at $1,645. A return below that area could quickly push ETH toward $1,563, with the furthest target around $1,476.
What's on the chart
Price testing or crossing any of these moving averages often either halts movement or injects fresh momentum into the market.
*La presente analisi del mercato ha un carattere esclusivamente informativo e non rappresenta una guida per l`effettuazione di una transazione.
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