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Yesterday, equity indices closed with sharp gains. The S&P 500 rose by 1.46%, the Nasdaq 100 jumped by 2.02%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average strengthened by 1.44%.
Global equities reached fresh record highs amid optimism that the United States and Iran are nearing an agreement to end the conflict, extending a rally that has repeatedly driven world stock indices to new peaks. Investors are clearly watching diplomatic developments with hope, treating a mutually acceptable agreement as a key factor for stabilizing the geopolitical backdrop and, consequently, supporting economic growth. Positive expectations of easing tensions are attracting capital into markets and pushing asset prices higher. Markets are now awaiting Iran's response, which is expected within the next 24 hours.
Against this growing optimism, the technology sector is showing resilience and readiness for further expansion. Many companies' earnings continue to grow, supported by strong consumer demand, effective management, and cost optimization. Some analysts note that even at record highs, certain sectors still have upside potential, particularly those tied to technological innovation.
The MSCI All Country World Index rose by 0.3%, while the MSCI Asia index jumped by 1.9%. Both reached record levels. The uptick was driven by a sharp rally in Japan's Nikkei 225, which also hit an intraday high. Tech stocks led gains, with SoftBank Group Corp. surging by 18% and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. climbing by 3.3%.
Asian market gains followed Wall Street's record closes on Wednesday, as traders upped their bets on further upside after roughly 80% of S&P 500 companies reported results that beat expectations. Another supportive factor was oil holding most of the prior session's losses near just below $102 per barrel amid speculation that a US-Iran deal could help resume shipments through the critical Strait of Hormuz.
US Treasuries continued to rally as traders revised expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes in light of softer inflation expectations. The prospect of lower rates increased the appeal of non-yielding gold, pushing it up to roughly $4,700 per ounce.
On the S&P 500 technical front, buyers' primary objective today is to breach the near-term resistance level of $7,381. Breaking above that level would signal further upside and open the path to $7,404. Maintaining control above $7,427 would further strengthen buyers' position. If risk appetite wanes and prices move lower, buyers need to reassert themselves around $7,361. A break below that level would quickly bring the instrument back to $7,339 and could open the way toward $7,319.
*La presente analisi del mercato ha un carattere esclusivamente informativo e non rappresenta una guida per l`effettuazione di una transazione.
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