empty
 
 
fr
Assistance
Ouverture rapide de compte
Plateforme de trading
Déposer / Retirer

06.11.202309:04 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Change in market sentiment raises risk appetite and pressures dollar

Global markets edged higher last week, evidently believing more positive news at the moment. Reportedly, the recently-held Fed meeting decided on another pause in the rate hike cycle, and would likely continue to do so in the future. Very weak data on new job creation in the US and the ongoing localization of the Middle East crisis also contributed to the positive mood.

The report released by the US Department of Labor on Friday indicated a significantly less-than-expected increase in news jobs in October - 150,000 jobs versus a forecast of 180,000. September's data has also been revised downward from 336,000 to 297,000. The overall unemployment rate rose to 3.9% from 3.8%, while the average hourly wages showed a growth of only 0.2% against a forecast of 0.3% and a revised September value of 0.3%.

All this solidified the belief that, given the current state of affairs, the Fed will not raise interest rates further, effectively ending its latest cycle of rate hikes aimed at combating inflation. Naturally, in response to such sentiments, a rally began in the stock markets.

And since the Fed took a pause in raising rates, other central banks worldwide will likely do the same.

Friday's news became a strong pressure factor for dollar, putting downward pressure on its exchange rate. As a result, the ICE dollar index dropped from above 106.00 points to 105.00 points. The decline will continue if Treasury yields also resume falling.

Most likely, the global changes in market sentiment will lead to continued stock market rallies on Monday, accompanied by a weakening of dollar. News from the Middle East also remains crucial, because if the Palestinian-Israeli conflict does not escalate beyond the borders of Gaza and Israel, the positive market sentiment will persist throughout the week.

Forecasts for today:

Exchange Rates 06.11.2023 analysis

Exchange Rates 06.11.2023 analysis

EUR/USD

The pair currently trades just below the resistance level of 1.0750. A move higher, driven by positive market sentiment, could lead to an increase towards 1.0845.

USD/CAD

The pair fell as dollar demand weakened due to the pause in the Fed's rate hike cycle. This, along with the ongoing high prices of crude oil, could lead to a further drop below 1.3635, towards 1.3570.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Pati Gani,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
© 2007-2024
Benefit from analysts’ recommendations right now
Top up trading account
Open trading account

InstaSpot analytical reviews will make you fully aware of market trends! Being an InstaSpot client, you are provided with a large number of free services for efficient trading.

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.