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From a technical perspective, the lack of any follow-through buying suggests that the recent downtrend might still be far from being over. Moreover, technical indicators on the daily chart are holding deep in the bearish territory and still far from being in the oversold zone. This, along with the recent break below a short-term ascending trend-line extending from September 2020 swing lows, favors bearish traders.
From the current levels, any meaningful slide might continue to find decent support near the 1.1700 mark. A convincing break below will reaffirm the bearish outlook and prompt some aggressive technical selling. The pair might then accelerate the fall towards intermediate support near the 1.1665-60 area before eventually dropping to the lows from November 2020 around the 1.1600 round figure.
On the flip side, bulls might wait for a move beyond the overnight swing high around the 1.1755 area before placing fresh bets. Any subsequent positive move might still be seen as a selling opportunity and remain capped near the 1.1800 mark. This is followed by resistance near the 1.1830-35 region, which if cleared decisively might trigger a short-covering move. The next relevant hurdle is pegged near the 1.1880 supply zone ahead of the 1.1900 mark. A sustained strength beyond this mark might negate the bearish bias and allow the pair to aim back to reclaim the key 1.2000 psychological mark.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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