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05.07.202116:33 Forex Analysis & Reviews: USD/JPY Hot Forecast for 5th July

  • A combination of factors failed to assist USD/JPY to capitalize on its modest uptick.
  • Diminishing odds for an earlier Fed rate hike kept the USD bulls on the defensive.
  • A softer risk tone benefitted the safe-haven JPY and collaborated to cap the major.

Exchange Rates 05.07.2021 analysis

USD/JPY is moderating its bounce off 110.8 amid bearish momentum. The yen pair remains inside a two-week-long ascending trend channel formation. Given the declining momentum line, the quote is likely to retest the key 111.00 threshold.

The USD/JPY pair's daily chart shows that Friday's decline fell short of suggesting further declines ahead. The pair keeps developing above the ascending trend-line support providing dynamic support at around 110.35. Technical indicators retreated from their highs, maintaining their bearish slopes but within positive levels.

The 4-hour chart shows that technical indicators retreated sharply from oversold readings and, as the price pierces above 20 level from below , favoring a next bullish move.

In the meantime, the broader market risk sentiment will continue to influence the USD/JPY pair and allow traders to grab some short-term opportunities. That said, the momentum is likely to be limited as investors might prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key event risk.

*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解,而不是给出交易的指示。

Jan Novotny,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
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