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25.12.202012:38 Forex Analysis & Reviews: Saxo Bank: Oil prices to fall due to COVID-19 mutation

Exchange Rates 25.12.2020 analysis

Recently, it became known that the coronavirus mutated and a more infectious genetic variant appeared. Experts believe that this could lead to a 10% drop in oil prices due to possible lockdowns. Nevertheless, in 2021, oil will rise in price, but the short-term prospects for oil have worsened.

On December 14, the UK Ministry of Health announced the discovery of a new type of coronavirus. Medical experts noted that the new type of virus is spreading faster than the "familiar" SARS-CoV-2. The new genetic variant of the coronavirus may be 70% more infectious.

Today, the price level of $51-52 per barrel is likely to be the maximum, as there is no steadily growing demand, experts say. Brent may drop by 10% to $46 per barrel before finding support. However, news about the start of coronavirus vaccinations may support the oil market.

Today, December 25, oil prices increased slightly during the trading.

WTI crude futures for February delivery grew by 0.37% to trade at $48.24 per barrel. Brent crude for March delivery rose by 0.25% to hit $51.37 per barrel. The difference in price between the Brent and WTI contracts is $3.07 per barrel.

Exchange Rates 25.12.2020 analysis

Exchange Rates 25.12.2020 analysis

The US Dollar Index, which measures the US dollar against a basket of six major currencies, rose by 0.10% to trade at $90.250.

Kate Smirnova,
Analytical expert of InstaSpot
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