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Indian rupee becomes Asia's worst currency in 2025

Indian rupee becomes Asia's worst currency in 2025

The Indian rupee is set to close 2025 as the worst-performing currency in the region, experiencing its largest annual decline since 2022. According to Bloomberg, the rupee fell to an all-time low of 89.48 against the dollar, surpassing the downturns of more resilient currencies such as the Taiwanese dollar, Malaysian ringgit, and Thai baht. The main factors behind this depreciation include stringent US tariffs on Indian exports, massive outflows of foreign investors, and the depletion of central bank reserves.
The decline of the rupee accelerated in July following the announcement of harsh tariffs by Donald Trump, with the US imposing the highest tariff in Asia of 50% on India, plus an additional 25% penalty for trading with Russia. September's threats to increase the H-1B visa fee to $100,000 for Indian professionals fueled further panic. Foreign investors withdrew $16.3 billion from Indian stocks, nearing the record levels seen in 2022. The Reserve Bank of India spent over $30 billion defending the rupee’s value but abandoned interventions by November, conceding its position.
The contrast with neighboring countries can be attributed to their stronger positions: Thailand, Taiwan, and Malaysia are facing lower tariffs and enjoying trade surpluses, while India is grappling with a chronic deficit. A weaker rupee has some advantages, such as cheaper exports and increased remittances from abroad (India received $137 billion in 2024), but the cost of importing oil, fertilizers, and electronics is set to rise.

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