The legend in the InstaSpot team!
Legend! You think that's bombastic rhetoric? But how should we call a man, who became the first Asian to win the junior world chess championship at 18 and who became the first Indian Grandmaster at 19? That was the start of a hard path to the World Champion title for Viswanathan Anand, the man who became a part of history of chess forever. Now one more legend in the InstaSpot team!
Borussia is one of the most titled football clubs in Germany, which has repeatedly proved to fans: the spirit of competition and leadership will certainly lead to success. Trade in the same way that sports professionals play the game: confidently and actively. Keep a "pass" from Borussia FC and be in the lead with InstaSpot!
Don't trust your eyes, trust your ears. When markets can't decide what to trade — oil shocks, stagflation fears, or FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) — a soundbite from Donald Trump becomes a lifeline. The S&P 500 found a bottom and bounced from late-November lows after the US president said the Middle East conflict would end soon.
The US–Israel–Iran standoff wiped about $6 trillion off global equity market capitalization. Yesterday's winners in Asia turned into the biggest losers. Money is rotating back to the United States — not just because the US market is the deepest and most liquid, but because the American economy, with roughly 415 million barrels in strategic oil reserves and increased drilling activity as Brent and WTI move higher, looks better positioned to weather an energy shock.
Global market capitalization dynamics
That said, JP Morgan has turned strategically bearish on the S&P 500 until the Middle East conflict ends. Yardeni has raised the probability of a broad market crash in 2026 from 20% to 35%. The odds that the index will rise purely on crowd exuberance have fallen from 20% to 5%.
The market was rescued once again by Trump's soundbite, but armed conflict ends at the negotiating table — and Iran has warned the two prior attempts at dialogue with the US, in summer 2025 and winter 2026, ended with strikes. More talks? Not likely.
US stock index performance
Sure, Trump could at any moment declare US objectives met and say strikes will stop. But would the market view that as a victory short of Tehran's full capitulation? The parties have no shared ground, so the conflict is more likely to continue than to end. If so, the S&P 500's bounce off local lows looks temporary.
Stagflation risks are growing fast, which will constrain the Fed and other central banks from easing policy. And keeping rates high will add pain to economies already shaky from soaring oil prices.
On the other hand, three straight years of 10%+ rallies in the S&P have trained the crowd to reflexively buy dips. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) is still priced in, so any positive trigger sparks rallies in the broad index.
Technically, the S&P 500 daily chart shows a wide-range bullish engulfing bar. The odds of a continued move toward fair value around 6,870 are rising. However, the market's fate hinges on bulls' ability to consolidate above the key pivot at 6,770. If they do, it would be wise to focus on buying. If the price slips back below the support level, it will be a reason to sell.
*এখানে পোস্ট করা মার্কেট বিশ্লেষণ আপনার সচেতনতা বৃদ্ধির জন্য প্রদান করা হয়, ট্রেড করার নির্দেশনা প্রদানের জন্য প্রদান করা হয় না।
ইন্সটাফরেক্স বিশ্লেষণমূলক পর্যালোচনাগুলো আপনাকে মার্কেট প্রবণতা সম্পর্কে পুরোপুরি সচেতন করবে! ইন্সটাফরেক্সের একজন গ্রাহক হওয়ায়, দক্ষ ট্রেডিং এর জন্য আপনাকে অনেক সেবা বিনামূল্যে প্রদান করা হয়।
