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06.04.202216:54 Forex Analysis & Reviews: EUR/USD forecast on 6th April

Exchange Rates 06.04.2022 analysis

EUR/USD has extended its daily rebound toward 1.0950 in the early American session on Wednesday. The US Dollar Index, which reached its highest level in nearly two years at 99.75 earlier, fell into negative territory below 99.50 as investors wait for the Fed to release the minutes of the March policy meeting.

EUR/USD is trading in the 1.0920 price zone, posting modest intraday gains. However, the risk is skewed to the downside, according to technical readings. In the daily chart, the pair remains well below all of its moving averages, with the 20 SMA gaining bearish strength at around the 1.1000 figure and below the longer ones. Technical indicators hold within negative levels, partially losing their bearish strength but without signs of downward exhaustion.

The 4-hour chart shows that technical indicators have corrected extreme oversold readings but turned flat within negative levels afterwards, indicating absent buying interest. Meanwhile, the 20 SMA maintains a firmly bearish slope below the longer ones, capping the upside a few pips above a Fibonacci resistance level at around 1.0965.

Support levels: 1.0870 1.0830 1.0805

Resistance levels: 1.0965 1.1020 1.1070

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